Tigray Conflict


[Ethiopia, Horn of Africa]

The “Law Enforcement” operation in Tigray by the Ethiopian government aimed at “restoring law and order” by expelling “treasonous” elements of the Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF) has resulted in a humanitarian crisis. The military-led operation, which began on 4 November 2020, marked the height of rising tensions between the TPLF and Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed’s administration. The TPLF had been at odds with PM Abiy since coming to power in 2018. Upon his accession to power, the PM not only removed TPLF “old guards” from top government positions but also dismantled the Ethiopian People’s Revolutionary Democratic Front (EPRDF). The EPRDF, which came to power in 1991 following the Ethiopian civil war,  is a coalition of four major ethnicity-driven political parties which TPLF dominated during their 29 years in power. The rise of PM Abiy, which is a  result of frustration from the public due to the political and economic marginalisation of other ethnic groups, meant the decline of TPLF dominance in politics. The EPRDF was also associated with gross human rights violations, including the mass detention of critics of the government and extrajudicial killings. 

The trigger that set off a domino effect was the 9 September Tigray elections which were held in defiance to the national government. The National Election Board of Ethiopia (NEBE) temporarily postponed the national and regional elections as a precautionary step to curb the spread of COVID-19. The TPLF objected to the move, stating that the NEBE was enabling PM Abiy to centralise power. The national elections were supposed to take place in August 2020. The 9 September 2020 elections in Tigray, which resulted in a landslide victory for the TPLF, was deemed “unconstitutional and illegal”  by the Ethiopian government. 

The two sides engaged in tit-for-tat exchanges between September and the beginning of the Law Enforcement operation in November 2020. In October, tensions escalated further when Ethiopia’s Upper House of Parliament voted to cut off budget subsidies to the Tigray region. The TPLF announced that the sanctions of Tigray mounted a “declaration of war” by the Ethiopian government. The Ethiopian military accused the TPLF of staging an attack on an army base, killing several soldiers. 

After months of rising tension between the TPLF and Ethiopian government, Prime Minister Ahmed Abiy announced the “law enforcement operation” on 4 November 2020. The Ethiopian National Defence Forces (ENDF) conducted airstrikes throughout the Tigray region. Simultaneously, its ground forces allegedly captured towns and villages from TPLF as they marched towards Mekelle, the regional capital city. TPLF engaged with the ENDF both through conventional warfare and hit and run tactics to slow down their progression to Mekelle. The rebel group also fired rockets into Eritrea’s capital, Asmara. 

Less than a month after the Law Enforcement operation began in Tigray, PM Abiy took to the media to announce that the government forces were in “full control” over Mekelle and that the conflict had officially ended. This was far from the truth. By the end of March 2021, PM Abiy admitted that the ENDF was engaging in eight different fronts against the TPLF and allied militias. The armed resistance arm of the TPLF, Tigray Defence Forces (TDF), is conducting a guerrilla war – similar to what they engaged in before coming to power in 1991 – out in the countryside and the mountains. 

The presence of Eritrean troops in Ethiopia has become a controversial issue. Both countries denied credible reports of Eritrean troops. By March 2021, PM Abiy, facing pressure from the international community and possible sanctions, delayed aid money and investigation into war crimes, crimes against humanity and genocide, admitted that the Eritreans had crossed the border. He assured the international community that the Eritreans had begun the withdrawal of troops. The withdrawal of troops comes at the backdrop of overwhelming evidence of human rights violations collected by news agencies and human rights and aid organisations.  

Aid agencies have raised the alarm over the worsening humanitarian situation in Tigray. By March 2021, Ethiopian Red Cross noted that 80% of the region was inaccessible. With many areas classified as hard-to-reach, either due to the security situation, and bureaucracy of the Ethiopian government, approximately 3.2 million people are unable to get any aid. Some aid organisations have reported deaths due to starvation. The worsening humanitarian situation has forced many Ethiopians to cross the border into Sudan. Sudan has received hundreds of thousands of refugees in a short six months. The increased tension between Sudan and Ethiopia over disputed land, which has resulted in clashes between the two armies, and the disagreement over the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam with Egypt and Sudan, could add a new dimension to the refugee and asylum-seeking programs.

Key Facts

600 - 1,200

People killed

1 Million

People displaced

Ongoing for

3 months

Where: Tigray Region, Ethiopia 

Population: 6 Million (Tigray region), 

Tigray militia force: 250,000 (International Crisis Group)

Dates of conflict:  4 November – Present 

Deaths: 52,000 (Estimates by local organisations) 

Refugees/Internally Displaced Peoples (IDPs): 200,000 Refugees in Sudan (Estimates by UNHCR), 1 million IDPs (Estimates by aid organisations) 

Human rights violations and abuses: 151 massacres reported (March estimates), executions, extrajudicial killings, 

Number of people who need aid: 4.5 million require food assistance (UN estimation) 

Attacks on refugee camps in Tigray: Reports of attacks on refugee camps, with predominantly Eritrean refugees, have been reported. Cases of death and abductions have also been reported. The attacks have resulted in the closure of two camps after armed men destroyed most of the structure in the camps. 

The Key Actors

The Situation

Classification:  Ongoing conflict, humanitarian crisis, possible ethnic cleansing

Advisor Comments: The military victories by the Tigrayan Defence Forces (TDF) over the first two weeks in July has shifted the conflict. The Ethiopian government is scrambling to change the narrative that they are losing the conflict in Tigray by using humanitarian grounds. Though the tides have changed in favour of TDF, another conflict is brewing in Tigray. With TDF planning to retake disputed territories that Amhara forces are currently occupying, Amhara nationalists have urged all its citizens to take up arms. Other reports indicate that the Oromo Liberation Front (OLF) are also arming themselves with the intent to enter the war in Tigray. If these claims are true, the Tigray war is only going to be prolonged.

Worsening

Current situation: The tides have changed in the conflict in Tigray with the armed resistance group, Tigray Defence Forces (TDF), retaking major towns. The month of July started with the TDF conducting major military offensives, pushing out Ethiopian National Defence Forces (ENDF) and Eritrean forces from Mekelle, Tigray’s capital, and other cities. Though the Ethiopian government claimed that the withdrawal of troops from Mekelle and other towns was a strategic move to allow humanitarian efforts to occur, regional analysts quickly discredit the government. ENDF troops knew that if they did not withdraw, they risked the possibility of being killed or becoming prisoners of war (POWs). After marching into Mekelle with cheering crowds, TDF paraded 7 000 ENDF POWs. In response to TDF’s successes, PM Abiy called for an immediate ceasefire that the UN and other western countries welcomed. However, the TDF asserted that they would only adhere to the ceasefire if several conditions are met, including the immediate withdrawal of Eritrean troops and for Amhara militias to return to pre-war territories. On the humanitarian front, the famine conditions worsen. In the first two weeks of July, the number of people facing famine conditions increased by 50 000 to 400 000. Another 1.8 million are on the brink of famine. 33 000 children severely malnourished. So far, the conflict has displaced 2 million people. The international community and aid organisations have urged the government to allow convoys with much-needed aid into Tigray. The World Food Programme (WFP) finally travelled to Mekelle with 50 trucks delivering 900 tonnes of goods and other emergency supplies. Although the Ethiopian government allowed humanitarian flights to Tigray, the director-general of the Ethiopian civil aviation authority, Wesenyeleh Hunegnaw, said that the Ministry of Foreign Affairs had not preapproved such flights. On the political front, PM Abiy won the contentious elections with the majority of the votes, as expected.

Events that led to “Operation law enforcement”

The fall of the Derg dictatorship (1974-1987) and People’s Democratic Republic of Ethiopia government (1987-1991) under the coalition forces under Ethiopian People’s Revolutionary Democratic Front (EPRDF), signalled a new era for Ethiopia.  The 1994 constitution created the federalist system in Ethiopia. The constitution states that Ethiopia would be divided into ten ethnolinguistic regions as a way to address past injustices of ethnic marginalisation and national identity issues. Additionally, ethnic groups have the right to self-determination. Theoretically, the ethno-federalist system aimed to strengthen regional states so that they could serve as a check and balance to the central government. 

In the beginning, the EPRDF, a coalition government composed of ethnic-affiliated political parties, Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF), Amhara Democratic Party (ADP), Oromo Democratic Party (ODP), and Southern Ethiopian People’s Democratic Movement (SEPDM), made significant progress. Ethiopia became more democratic, modernised the economy, reduced poverty rates, and regularised the elections. 

As time progressed, the EPRDF slowly shifted towards becoming an illiberal democracy, and later, an authoritarian government. TPLF dominated the political scene with Tigray region benefiting the most from the 29 years in which EPRDF maintained power. The theory that the regional government would act as a check and balance to the central government proved to be inaccurate. The regional governments remain weak, ineffective and utterly dependent on the central government. Essentially, Ethiopia was only a multiparty government on paper. The federalist system also did not solve the ethnic tension between the major groups – Omoro, Amhara, and Tigray. The tension between Islam and Christianity also complicated the federalist system. 

The growing frustration with the government led to mass protests in 2005, 2014 and 2016 -18. In addition to protesting the political and economic marginalisation, they disapproved of the endemic corruption and entitlement. The protests were dealt with in brutal force by the Ethiopian police and military. Human rights organisations have documented instances of security forces using grenades and live bullets. Critics of the government were detained, arrested, and charged with various offences including terrorism, and sedition. Extrajudicial killings of opposition leaders and critics increased with many of their cases not solved. 

The election of PM Ahmed Abiy to power in June 2018 hailed a new era for Ethiopia, similar to EPRDF in 1991. Like EPRDF, PM Abiy started the democratisation process with the release of thousands of political prisoners, created a joint consultative body made up of representatives of all political groups, and normalised relations with Eritrea, which led to his Nobel Peace Prize.  PM Abiy disbanded the EPRDF and created the Prosperity Party. This coalition party included the three out of the four founding political parties and also added smaller ethno-affiliated political parties. He noted that the new political party is a “crucial step in harnessing our energy to work towards a shared vision.”  Moreover, he stated that the appointment to any government position would be based on merit rather than based on balancing ethnic groups as the EPRDF had done. 

The changes by PM Abiy threatened the status quo that the TPLF had created over the last two and a half decades. The TPLF refused to join the Prosperity Party, saying that the party will bring back the authoritarian one-party system that they had fought to bring down. Additionally, they objected to moves by PM Abiy to remove TPLF “old guard” from high ranking government positions. The tensions between PM Abiy and TPLF remained at minimal levels until March 2020 when the parliamentary and presidential elections were postponed due to COVID-19. 

The National Election Board of Ethiopia (NEBE), temporarily postponed the national and regional elections scheduled for August. The national body cited COVID-19 concerns as the reason for the postponement of the election. 

The Tigrayan regional government did not approve the NEBE decision to postpone the election. Legislators from Tigray, including the Speaker of the Upper House, withdrew from the national parliament in protest.

In defiance, the Tigrayans held an election for regional government. The elections saw the TPLF win 98% of the votes. Following the election, which had no election observers, the regional legislators declared that the Addis Ababa government lacked the legitimacy to govern the country, therefore, they do not recognise it.

In March, the national election board postponed all regional and national elections due to COVID-19 pandemic. The Ethiopian government deemed the election “illegal” and “unconstitutional.”  

The House of Federation (HoF), which is Ethiopia’s Upper House of Parliament, voted to withhold budget subsidies to the Tigray regional government. The move was unsurprising as the HoF is filled with PM Abiy’s allies.

This is the latest in an increasingly tense situation between PM Abiy and the Tigray regional government. Last month, the Tigray people held an election for local government, a move that was viewed as “illegal” and “unconstitutional” by the prime minister. The election came after the central government announced their decision to postpone national and regional elections, citing COVID-19 precaution, an excuse that TPLF rejected. TPLF leadership viewed the move as a way for PM Abiy of re-centralising the government.

The effects of the budget cuts on the Tigray region has been questioned. Previously, the Ethiopian government said that would by-pass the executive and regional government and would channel the budget to lower government. One analyst says that the buts will affect both sides. “Tigray has a big tax base and relatively robust manufacturing base…An economic siege by the federal government would likely backfire, as it would create solidarity between the people and the government in the face of a perceived threat by the central government.”

In an escalation of events, PM Abiy appointed Brigadier General Jamal Mohamed, as the new leader of the Tigray region.  As expected, the TPLF has rejected the move, going a step further by blocking him from taking office in the region. The Brig-Gen travelled to the region on 29 November and was forced to fly back to Addis Ababa. The government nor the military have commented on the incident.

In a televised statement, the President of Tigray region, Debretsion Gebremichael, assured its people that their military is prepared to address any situation that might arise. He added that the Ethiopian government stopped support to the region to avenge the region’s decision to hold elections. The president noted that the Ethiopian forces have a standby military order to attack the region.

Timeline

Prime Minister Abiy announces the “law enforcement’ operation, as well as a state of emergency, in the Tigray region. In a statement, the Ethiopian government said that the “situation has reached a level where it cannot be prevented and controlled through a regular law enforcement mechanism.” The operation aims to attack Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF) safe havens through airstrikes and ground operation. PM Abiy noted that the operation is a response to the attack by TPLF on a military base, which killed soldiers.

A day after the Ethiopian military began its offensive operations in Tigray, the US has called for the de-escalation of events. Ethiopia’s ally has strongly encouraged “all parties to prioritise civilian safety and security.”

The Intergovernmental Authority on Development (IGAD) expressed their concern over the ongoing conflict in Tigray. The regional institution called for both sides to show restraint and work together to deescalate the tensions.

Prime Minister Abiy has fired the army chief, head of intelligence and foreign affairs minister. The announcement was made on Twitter with no explanation for the sacking of the officials. The Deputy Prime Minister, Demeke Mekonnen, has been appointed as the foreign minister, Dirhau Jula promoted to army chief of staff from Deputy Army Chief and Temesgen Tiruneh, who served as the president of the Amhara region, is the new intelligence chief. 

The new changes come as the country engages in a military battle with the Tigray region. The Ethiopian military has conducted airstrikes on the Tigray region capital, Mekele. As the troops move towards the capital, the government has shut down all communication masks, making it very difficult to get accurate information on the humanitarian crisis.  

Amnesty International says photo and video evidence shows scores killed and wounded in knife and machete attacks in Mai-Kadra town, western Tigray state.  The evidence shows bodies being carried away by civilians on stretchers. Witnesses have claimed that the perpetrators are forces loyal to the Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF).

In a statement, the AU Commission Chairperson, Moussa Faki Mahamat, appealed for the immediate cessation of conflict in the Tigray region.  He called for both parties to “respect human rights and ensure the protection of civilians.”

The statement comes a week after Ethiopia announced the military-led “operation law enforcement” which aims to deal with the elements of the Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF) that the government believes are sowing seeds of sedition.

PM Abiy has appointed Dr Mulu Nega as the new Chief Executive of the Tigray Regional State. In a tweet, the PM said, “On the basis of the decision of the House of Federation and the Council of Ministers Regulation Concerning the Provision Administration of the Tigray National Regional State, Dr Mulu Nega has been appointed as the Chief Executive of the Tigray Regional State.”

On 30 October, the president had attempted to do the same thing, but TPFL sent the military general back to Addis Ababa. The election of Dr Mulu challenges the presidency of Debretsion Gebremichael who was elected in the September regional elections that the federal government termed “illegal.” The government has issued an arrest warrant against Debretsion and other TPLF leaders for “endangering the country’s existence” and “trying to erode the constitution.”

In an escalation of events, the Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF) launched at least two rockets into Eritrea’s capital of Asmara, and Gondar. Local reports indicate that the TPLF is targeting two airports in Asmara which partially damaged the airport in Gondar. A doctor in Eritrea told AFP that the attack resulted in the death of 2 military personnel and another 15 were injured in Gondar. The TPLF claimed that Eritrea, a once bitter rival of Ethiopia, was helping PM Abiy in suppressing their liberation movement.  

Eritrea and TPLF have had a strenuous relationship as they share a border. A dispute over territory along the border caused a war between Ethiopia and Eritrea from 1998 and 2000, with the town of Badme as the primary source of contention. Ethiopia’s normalisation of relations with Eritrea was a slap on the face for the TPLF. The leadership called the PM’s friendship with the Eritrean president as “unprincipled.” PM has accused the TPLF of instigating problems by wearing similar military uniforms to Eritrea and implicating the government of “false claims of aggression against the people of Tigray. 

Various Eastern and Horn of African presidents, as well as the AU, have called for peace in Ethiopia. Kenyan president urged the fighting parties to find a “peaceful means to end the crisis.” He added that the conflict within the country could impact the region since Ethiopia and Kenya have long served as “anchor states for regional peace and stability.” Uganda has offered to mediate the conflict; a role it frequently plays in regional conflicts. Ethiopia’s deputy prime minister met with the Ugandan President, Yoweri Museveni.

The Ethiopian government conducted airstrikes on Mekele, the capital city of the Tigray region. Redwan Hussain, the spokesperson of the newly formed emergency task force on Tigray, said they hit military targets while the army engaged in an armed confrontation with the rebels. As the crisis worsens, the military intensified precision airstrikes in the region in an attempted to squash the TPFL rebels

Responding to rumblings on social media, the AU confirmed the contract of the AU security chief, Gen Gebre Egziabher Mabratu Melese, was terminated a week prior. The statement further states that Ethiopia’s request influenced the decision. The AU maintained that they could not keep the General with the knowledge that his government no longer trusted the officer. “The commission is responsible for the safety and security of the personnel. It is clear that this role cannot be entrusted to an individual, who remains a serving national military officer, and in whom his national hierarchy withdrew its full trust and support.”  Mahamat Zene Moussa has been appointed as the acting security chief. 

The security chief was supposed to retire in June 2020, but his contract was extended as the AU found his replacement. The Ethiopian government also issued an arrest warrant for him and other top TPLF leadership including the Tigray president Debrestion Gebremicheal, and Ethiopian military chiefs Tadesse Werede Tesfaye and Yohannes Goldegiorgis.

As the deadline for Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF) to surrender expires, Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed warned the “final and crucial” military operation would soon be launched. He announced the military plans through a Facebook post. A few days earlier, the Ethiopian Minister in charge of democratisation, Zadig Abraha, justified the airstrikes, adding that the TPLF “raided our Northern Command, it looted our artillery…surrounded our soldiers and took hostages with them.” He said that for the war to end, the rebels must adhere to the conditions spelt out by the government, including handing over the top leadership.

For the last two weeks, the Ethiopian military has been conducting devastating airstrikes on TPLF bases in their region. Foreigners, mostly from international organisations working in Mekele, have fled to Addis Ababa for safety.  Though the government has denied reports, hundreds of civilians are reportedly killed based on estimates by news organisations and NGOs.  Amnesty International stated that “scores and likely hundreds of people were stabbed or hacked to death” in the town of Mai-kadra on Monday alone. The constant airstrikes have led thousands of Ethiopians to flee to Sudan for safety. So far, the Ethiopian government/military taskforce for Tigray have claimed to have liberated several towns from the TPLF. The current situation in Tigray is that there is no electricity, telecommunication has been blocked, while lack of access to fuel and cash have hampered humanitarian efforts. To make matters worse, the internet services in the region have been shut down.

As the crisis intensifies, the UNHCR warms of a looming “full-scale humanitarian crisis” in Ethiopia. Approximately 27,000 people have fled the heavy fighting to seek refuge in Sudan. UNHCR spokesperson Babar Baloch stated that the agency is “on standby to provide assistance in Tigray when access and security allow.” OCHA, another UN Agency, through its spokesperson, stated that the organisation and its partners are “supporting the Sudanese government in its response, ramping up humanitarian assistance at the borders as the needs continue to grow.” He also noted that they would “try to prepare the best way possible.”

The now-refugees are sharing their stories of atrocities committed towards them by the military. One refugee said that military officers attacked his town with their tanks and the civilians only had knives and sticks to defend themselves with.

PM Abiy has appealed to the refugees to return home as the war is about to end. Analysts disagree with the PM statement. The TPLF have a sophisticated arsenal and a massive militia, therefore the conflict can drag on for some time.

An Ethiopian official claims that the WHO director-general, Tedros Adhanom, has been “fully engaged in soliciting diplomatic and military support” for the Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF). Previously, Tedros, who had served as Ethiopia’s Health Minister (2005 – 2012) and Foreign Affairs Minister (2012-2016), was allegedly a member of the powerful Executive Committee. The official, who chose to speak as long as his identity remains secret, told the Turkish newspaper, Anadolu Agency, that the Ethiopian military has been aware of Tedros’ activities, especially his lobbying efforts in the UN to “exert pressure on the Ethiopian government to unconditionally stop its military action against TPLF.” The official further stated that Mr Tedros has been soliciting military support in Egypt. “To ally with Egypt, which had been bent on destabilising Ethiopia for decades and aborting construction of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD), is tantamount to treason,” he added.  

Ethiopia has confirmed reports that Tigrayan peacekeepers part of the AU Mission in Somalia (AMISOM) were disarmed. The government claimed the exercise was done purely based on security issues, rather than ethnicity. Local reports indicate between 200 and 300 Tigrayans were disarmed. 

The disarmament of the soldiers puts more pressure on AMISOM who are battling the insurgent group Al-Shabaab in Somalia. The group has been increasing the number of attacks, especially planting of improvised explosive devices (IEDs) on roads frequently used by AMISOM and Somali security forces. Analysts question whether the disarmament will impact the ongoing operations by AMISOM. 

Both sides are claiming “military gains” as Ethiopian troops proceed towards Tigray’s capital of Mekele. The Ethiopian military has continued with air raids as the troops march towards the regional capital. Ethiopia’s army chief said that they are “winning on all fronts” and TPLF troops were “in a state of desperation.

TPLF remained determined to keep fighting, with their leaders refusing to listen to the government’s command to surrender. A local official is quoted saying “Tigray is now hell to its enemies.” Tigrayan president, Debretsion Gebremichael, announced that TPLF is “inflicting heavy defeats on all fronts against the forces that came to attack us.”

The international community is calling for calm in Ethiopia. The UN has offered to mediate the recent tensions, but the Ethiopian government has rejected the move. The international body warns that a “humanitarian disaster is unfolding.” Some organisations claim that the roads are blocked, and the airport is closed, making it difficult for aid groups to bring humanitarian assistance to the Tigray region.

Local reports indicate that suspected Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF) PLF rockets were fired on Bahir Dir town in Amhara region at approximately 1:40 AM. The Amhara regional government communication office announced on Facebook that no casualties or damage was reported.

The African Union (AU) dispatched a high-level delegation to Ethiopia to meet with PM Abiy to find a resolution to the Tigray crisis. The delegation consists of three former presidents of Liberia, Mozambique and South Africa, Ellen Johnson Sirleaf, Joaquim Chissano, Kgalema Motlanthe, respectively. In a tweet, the AU stated: “the primary task of the special envoy is to engage all sides of the conflict with a view to ending hostilities, creating conditions for an inclusive national dialogue to resolve all issues that led to the conflict, and restoring peace and stability to Ethiopia.” 

Ethiopian forces announced that they had captured two towns of Axum and Adwa from Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF) in the Northern Tigray region. The government also claims that an unspecified number of TFPL fighters have surrendered to the military. The military is suspected to be advancing towards the town of Adigrat, 120KM from the capital.

In televised response, the Tigray president’s spokesperson, Getachew Reda, did not directly respond to the capture of Axum and Adwa. Instead, he announced the apparent successes by TPLF troops on the battlefield. He said they have inflicted “increasing casualties” to government troops at Raya, which is south of the capital. He also claimed responsibility for a rocket attack in the neighbouring Amhara region, on Bahir Dar town.

UN Secretary-General António Guterres commended the AU’s decision to send three high-level envoys to support the peaceful resolution of the Tigray region in Ethiopia. In the statement, he noted that the UN extends the full support for the initiative. He reiterates the commitment of the UN to support efforts towards ensuring a peaceful, stable and prosperous Ethiopia.

The fighting in Tigray region, which officially began on 4 November, has resulted in a humanitarian crisis with thousands displaced and thousands more fleeing to Sudan for safety. UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres continued to urge both sides to restrain themselves. He added that a humanitarian corridor is needed to assist civilians caught in the fighting. UNHRC announced that 31,000 Ethiopians had crossed the border into Sudan over the last two and half weeks. The agency added that they are preparing for 200,000 Ethiopians to flee to Sudan. 

In response to the humanitarian crisis, the Prime Minister said that his government, “with the rest of Ethiopia would work to ensure that all humanitarian needs [are] addressed. “The overall safety and well-being of the people of Tigray is of paramount importance to the federal government, and we will do all that is necessary to ensure stability prevails in the Tigray region and that our citizens are free from harm and want,” he added.

After the meeting with the AU high-level delegation sent to assist with quelling the tensions in Tigray, Prime Minister Abiy issues a statement detailing the country’s response to the AU. The Prime Minister began with defending the operations, stating that the failure to enforce would create a “culture of impunity with devastating cost to the survival of the country.”  In terms of dialogue, he maintained that his government would only speak to representatives “operating legally” in the Tigray region. Finally, he finally quoted the UN charter that calls for the non-interference policy of internal affairs of a sovereign nation. He concluded by appreciating what he termed as “elderly concern” of the African Union and its commitment to the principle of African solutions to African problems.” 

Note. Though the PM used the UN charter to say that the AU should adhere to the non-interference principle, the AU can intervene in internal issues through the AU Constitutive Act, Article 4(g). The article states that the AU has the right “to intervene in a member state…in respect of grave circumstances, namely war crimes, genocide and crimes against humanity.” International human rights organisation has accused the Ethiopian military of war crimes, though the allegations are hard to verify due to the communication shutdown in the Tigray region.

As Ethiopian forces advance to Tigray’s capital of Mekelle, they claim to have seized the Tigrayan town of Adigrat. The announcement comes just a day after they claimed to have captured Axum and Adwa. Adigrat is the second-largest city in the Tigray region, about 116 KM from the capital. TPLF confirmed that the Ethiopian military bombarded the city of Adigrat but did not respond to the claims that the army controls the city.

Prime Minister Abiy has given Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF) a 72-hour ultimatum to surrender. In a tweet, PM Abiy tweeted “We urge you to surrender peacefully within 72 hours, recognising that you are at the point of no return.” The call comes as the Ethiopian troops approach the regional capital of Mekele. It is reported that the soldiers are only 60KM from Mekele, where half a million people are still living. The army warned the residents of Mekele that “anything can happen” as the troops advanced to the capital. The spokesperson of the military also urged the civilians to “save themselves.”

TPLF regional president, Debretsion Gebremichael, told the media that the halt of operations was a way for the military to regroup after apparent defeats in all three fronts in the battleground.

The Ethiopian military has claimed to have captured Axum, Adwa, Adigrat and Idaga Hamus.

Michelle Bachelte, the UNHCR boss, voiced concern over the protection of civilians during the ongoing battle in Tigray. She said she is concerned over the rhetoric both sides are using, as it is “dangerously provocative and risks placing already vulnerable and frightened civilians in grave danger.” 

UN Secretary-General, Antonio Guterres issued a statement also voicing his concern over the situation in Tigray.  He called on “leaders of Ethiopia to do everything possible to protect civilians.”  He urged both sides to uphold human rights and ensure humanitarian access to those who need assistance. 

Prime Minister Abiy announced the end of the “operation law enforcement” in Tigray region after its troops allegedly took “full control” of the regional capital of Mekele. In a tweet, the PM noted, “We now have ahead of us the critical task of rebuilding what has been destroyed; repairing what is damaged; returning those who have fled, with the utmost priority of returning normalcy to the people of the Tigray region.” In response to the Prime Minister’s announcement, TPLF leader, Debretsion Gebremichael affirmed that his forces would keep fighting. He added, “Their brutality can only add (to) our resolve to fight these invaders to the last…. this is about defending our rights to self-determination.”

Red Cross, one of the international NGOs operating from Mekele, the capital of the Tigray region,  stated that 80% of the people in hospital have trauma injuries. An increase of such injuries, the aid organisation said, means that the hospital would “suspend many other medical services so that the limited staff and resources could be devoted to emergency medical care.” The increase in patients has resulted in a shortage of medical supplies and body bags

The reality on the ground is hard to ascertain since the government still has closed the communication channels in the Tigray region. Analysts and organisations operating in the area suspect thousands of civilians have been killed in the three-week conflict. Conservative findings from the National Human Rights Council indicate that at least 600 civilians have been killed in one attack which they attribute to militias linked to the TPLF. The fighting has forced over 1 million people from their homes, and another 43,000 have fled to Sudan for safety.

At approximately 10 PM, Eritreans reported six loud explosions in the capital of Eritrea, Asmara. Preliminary reports indicate that the rockets fell near the airport and military installations. The country has provided no information to support the social media reports or whether any sustained damages. This is the third attack on Asmara since the conflict ensued on 4 November.

The attack comes just hours after Prime Minister Abiy claims victory against the Tigray region, adding that they have successfully taken over the capital city of Mekelle.

Sudan’s Rapid Support Forces, a paramilitary force operated by the government, announced the seizure of a weapon cache, ammunition and military equipment on its eastern border with Ethiopia. It’s unclear whom the weapons belong to and whether it is related to the current conflict in the Tigray region.

While addressing the parliament, Prime Minister Abiy stated that the Ethiopian military had not killed a single civilian during the three-week conflict in Tigray region. The PM further noted that all military action was approved by “a signature of authority.” “99% of them hit their targets and 99% of them didn’t have collateral damage. No country’s army can show this level of performance. Our army is disciplined and victorious” he maintained. He added that the military will not destroy the capital city of Mekele, now that they are in control of the city.

In a telephone interview with Associated Press (AP), Tigrayan President Debretsion Gebremichael maintained that Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF) would win the conflict. He added that the conflict “will continue until the invaders are out.” 

In another interview with Reuters, Tigrayan president claimed to have captured prisoners of war from Eritrea who allegedly were fighting alongside the Ethiopian military. The Eritrean military has yet commented on the allegations. In the interview, President Gebremichael claimed that TPLF has recaptured the city of Axum and has shot down a military plane in the process. He claims that the pilot of the aircraft was captured. The Ethiopian government is yet to comment on the allegations.

The conflict between the Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF) and the Ethiopian government has caused food shortages in Eritrean refugee camps in the Tigray region. The UN is concerned with the trend, requesting “urgent access” to the region to deliver the needed aid. Spokesperson of UNHCR, Babar Baloch stated, “We, as humanitarians, have lost access and contact with the refugees since the last month that this fighting has been ongoing, and now there are worrying reports of attacks, of abductions and also of recruitments in and around these refugee camps.” He added that there are reports that some of the refugees have fled the camps seeking refuge in other parts of the region.  One hundred thousand Eritrean refugees are living in Ethiopia near the border, 60,000 of whom depend on monthly food rations and have not received this month’s quota. The international institution is still attempting to convince the Ethiopian government for access to the Tigrayan region, with little success.

Ethiopia announced that the government and the UN have agreed to coordinate the distribution of essential supplies in Tigray. The spokesperson of Prime Minister Abiy said that the two sides have “signed an agreement for an enhanced coordination mechanism for humanitarian access in Ethiopia’s Tigray-region which complements the humanitarian assistance efforts the federal government has begun.”

A week after the Ethiopian government claimed to have taken full control over Tigray’s capital city of Mekelle, both sides are trying to tell the narrative of what is happening on the ground. In a statement, Prime Minister Abiy said, “The criminal clique [TPLF] pushed a patently false narrative that its fighters and supporters are battle-hardened and well-armed, posing the risk of protracted insurgency in the rugged mountains of Tigray. It also claimed that it has managed to undertake a strategic retreat with all its capability and regional government apparatus intact. The reality is the criminal clique is thoroughly defeated and in disarray, with the insignificant capability to mount a protracted insurgency.” On the other hand, Tigray People’s Liberation Front’s (TPLF) spokesperson, Gebre Gebresadkan, told Tigrayans in a televised interview that “the war is a people’s war and will not end easily.” He added that the fighting is still continuing in the outskirts of the capital city of Mekelle.

The communication and travel block in Tigray region has made it challenging to verify statements from either side.  Though communication has been blocked in the region, some aid organisations have been able to share some information about what is happening in Tigray. One aid worker confirmed TPLF accounts that fighting is continuing in the outskirts of Mekele. Ethiopian refugees in Sudan is another source of information. Many have said that they ran past dead people as they fled the country. Some of them witnessed armed attackers with machetes, sticks and other rudimentary weapons, killing civilians.

With thousands fleeing the Tigrayan region into Sudan, the country’s Red Cross has started the “family reunification” programme. The programme has proved vital since many have lost contact with their families as they fled the violence in the northern region of Ethiopia. A Red Cross official noted that they have started with free phone calls to family members to attempt to find them. If this option does not work, the Red Cross alerts other organisations working with Ethiopian refugees. The official adds that out of 2500 phone calls that they have made, 70% of them have been able to find their relatives.

Ethiopia’s Prime Minister Abiy assures the country that efforts are underway to restore order in the Tigray region. He added that now that the fighting is over, protection and security of civilians “remain an essential priority.” In addition to helping the affected population, he stated that other priorities include bringing fugitives to justice, restoring law and order, and granting unfettered access to humanitarian aid.

The statement from the PM comes as aid organisations and the UN call for the reopening of roads and end of the communication blackout in the Tigray region so that aid can be delivered to the Tigrayans.

UN Secretary-General, Antonio Guterres, expressed his concern over the Ethiopian crisis in the Tigray region. Through his spokesperson, Stephane Dujarric, he stated that it is “essential to quickly restore the rule of law, in full respect of human rights, promote social cohesion, an inclusive reconciliation, as well as to re-establish the delivery of services and guarantee unfettered humanitarian access.”

The police headquarters announced that they had issued arrest warrants for ten police officers who allegedly left their duty station in Addis Ababa to defect to TPLF. The statement accused the officers of treason and human rights abuses.

The Ethiopian government confirmed security forces shot at and detained UN workers in Tigray region.  According to a senior government official and head of the emergency task force for Tigray, Redwan Hussein, the UN staffers allegedly “broke” past two checkpoints to go to areas where “they were not supposed to go.” He added that they had been released. Redwan said that it would invite the international community to assist with the investigation only if they feel “it failed to investigate.”  He said that assuming that Ethiopia cannot conduct such an investigation is “belittling the government.” 

In response to the attack, Secretary-General’s spokesperson, Stephanie Dujarric, called the reports “alarming.” He added that the UN is “engaging at the highest level with the federal government [of Ethiopia] to express our concern and avoid any such incidents in the future.” According to the UN, the staffers were assessing roads, an essential step before an aid convoy passes through an area. State-owned news claimed that the UN Resident Coordinator for Humanitarian Affairs, Catherine Sozy, apologised for the behaviour of the UN staffers. 

UNHCR chief, Michelle Bachelet called the ongoing conflict in Tigray as “exceedingly worrying and volatile.” She said that corroborated information shows gross human rights violation and abuses, including indiscriminate attacks against civilians, looting, abductions and sexual violence against women and girls. She did not say who the perpetrators of violations and abuses. Michelle added that Tigrayan youth had been forcibly recruited to fight for Tigray. 

Contrary to the government’s claims that all fighting is done, the UNHCR boss noted that fighting is still ongoing in the outskirts of Mekelle, the capital of Tigray. 

Danish Refugee Council (DRC) and International Rescue Committee (IRC) have confirmed that at least four aid workers from their respective organisations in total were killed in two separate incidents. For DRC, three of their staffers working as guards at a project site were killed in November. The organisation said that due to lack of communication and ongoing insecurity, they had not informed the next of kin. For IRC, one of their staffers was killed in Hitsats refugee camp in Shire. The organisation is still working on gathering information that led to the death of the colleague, but the lack of communication is contributing to the slow investigation. 

Locals report that Ethiopia rounded up thousands of refugees, who had fled from camps to seek refuge, and drove them to the Eritrean border. 

The UN responded to the allegations, saying that the reports were “disturbing.”  Filippo Grandi, the UN refugee chief, added that they have been receiving reports of killing, abduction and forced repatriation of Eritrean refugees over the past month. He said that they are still trying to verify the allegations. If true, he added, Ethiopia would be violating international law. 

Ethiopian National Defense Forces (ENDF), supported by the police, claimed to have rescued at least 1000 military officers who had been captured by Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF). One of the rescued officers is Brigadier General Admeh Mengiste, the deputy commander of the North Command of the ENDF. 

Amnesty International implicates Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF)-affiliated militia as perpetrators of a massacre in a small town of Mai Kadra in Tigray. The town is the home of Tigrayan, Amhara, and other smaller ethnic groups. The attack, which took place on 12 November, resulted in a “very large number of civilian deaths.”  According to one survivor, the police in the region, supported by TPLF youth militia, known locally as Samri, went killing non-Tigrayans. He said one of his friends was killed while another was let go after pleading for his life in Tigrayan. Other survivors said that the bandits had asked people to produce their identification cards to tell people’s ethnicity. 

The government, since the beginning of the conflict, blocked most communication lines in Tigray. As a result, it has been challenging to get information or verify stories from survivors of attacks in Tigray.  In Mai Kadra, the government restored communication a week ago, making it easier to get information about the attack. 

In an interview with an Indian newspaper, Ethiopian Ambassador to India, Tizita Mulugeta, said the Tigray situation “is now under control.” She added that the objectives of “operation law enforcement” were successfully achieved. She affirmed that the government is hunting the “few number of criminals [who] are in hiding.” Addressing the refugee and humanitarian crisis as a result of the operation, she stated that Ethiopia is now “in a position to start the rehabilitation programme.” She noted that the government had identified four sites to house the internally displaced persons (IDPs). 

Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed met with the Sudan counterpart where they discussed bilateral cooperation between the two neighbouring nations. In relation to the ongoing conflict in Tigray, PM Abiy’s office tweeted that the Sudanese government fully supports Ethiopia. “The Sudanese side reiterated their solidarity with the government of Ethiopia in the law enforcement operations it has been undertaking.”  TPLF and Ethiopian military confrontations have led to thousands of Ethiopians to flee to Sudan for safety.

IGAD will call for an emergency meeting to discuss the ongoing Tigray conflict, Sudan Prime Minister tells the media. This came after the meeting between Sudanese and Ethiopian prime ministers, Abdalla Hamdok and Ahmed Abiy respectively. Ethiopia is yet to comment on the announcement by Sudan’s Prime Minister about the IGAD emergency meeting.

Ethiopian Prime Minister Ahmed Abiy made a working visit to Mekelle, capital of Tigray region. In a tweet, he said, “went to Mekelle and met with commanders of the ENDF, as well as the PRovisional Administration of Tigray.” He claimed that telecom and electricity had been restored in the area. He alleged that they were not working due to repairs. PM also said that infrastructure projects have commenced repairing the damages from the conflict.

The attack occured in the Al-Fashqa region.

The European Union (EU) announced the suspension of $109 million aid to Ethiopia over lack of humanitarian aid to the Tigray region. The EU Head of Delegation to Ethiopia, Ambassador Johan Borgstam, said that the aid money was postponed until the EU sees the “Granting of full humanitarian access to Tigray for relief actors so that people in need can be reached and there is an end to the ethnic-based targeting.” The EU also called for the government to give access to the media and restore all communications in Tigray. 

The Ethiopian government is offering a reward of 10 million birr, which is equivalent to $260,000, to anyone who provides information on the location of TPLF leaders. Lieutenant General Asrat Denero, the head of the military community information department, announced the details of the rewards on state-run media.

Demarcation talks over the boundary between Ethiopia and Sudan failed to yield results or a consensus.

Gumuz gunmen kill at least 207 Amhara and Shinasha civilians.

Ethiopia’s National Electoral Board (NEC) announced that the parliamentary election would take place on 5 June 2021. The NEC had postponed the elections scheduled to take place in August this year due to COVID-19 pandemic. 

The election is expected to take place as the country rustles with many crises. In Tigray, despite claiming victory, the military is still fighting against the TPLF. Also in Tigray, battles between armed Amhara groups and Tigrayans have been reported, with Amhara groups claiming they are reclaiming their land. In other parts of the country, the Oromo and Somalis, the Somalis and Afar, Oromo and Amhara have had sporadic clashes, 

Banks in Mekelle, Tigray’s capital, opened for the first time since the conflict started in November. The state-run Fana TV reported that the government was restoring normality. A week earlier, the government sent civil servants back to work, reopened the air space, and restored some power and telecom links.

Reuters reported that their cameraman had been arrested in his home in Addis Ababa last week and has since been in custody without charge. The cameraman, identified as Kumerra Gumeechu, was arrested in front of his family by at least ten armed federal police officers. The day after the arrest, he appeared before a judge, with no lawyer present, and was ordered to remain in detention for an additional 14 days to give police time to investigate. The police confiscated his electronics, including his phone and laptop, according to his family. 

A week and a half prior to this incident, another Reuters staff, photographer Tiksa Negeri, was allegedly beaten by two Ethiopian federal police officers. Ethiopian Broadcasting Authority had accused international media houses of falsely reporting and unbalanced coverage of the fighting in Tigray at the end of November. 

Sudan claims that from the 23rd to 31st December, the military made further territorial gains in Al-Fashqa and Al-Quraisha border regions.

Churches in the northern region have claimed to be attacked and looted. The perpetrators are unknown. 

Ethiopia announced that its forces had killed three Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF) leaders. The government alleges they were killed after they refused to surrender to the military. The three leaders were identified as Seyoum Mesfin, former Foreign Affairs Minister (1991-2010), Aba Tsehaye, former Federal Affairs Minister, Asmelash Woldesellassie, the ex-parliamentary chief whip, 

The latest attack is part of the ongoing operations by the Ethiopian government to apprehend TPLF leaders. Last week, they arrested Sebhat Nega, a founding member of the group.  State-run media reported that they killed 15 members and captured eight others. 

The UN Special Representative on Sexual violence, Pramila Patten, said she is concerned about the serious allegations of sexual violence in Tigray. She said that the UN had received reports on a “high number of alleged rapes.” “There are also disturbing reports of individuals allegedly forced to rape members of their own family, under threats of imminent violence,” Patten said in a statement. She added that the increased number of cases of medical centres prescribing “emergency contraception” and “increased testing of sexually transmitted infections” is additional information that supports the allegations. 

The US has called for the immediate withdrawal of Eritrean troops out of the Tigray region. In the State Department statement, the US says that “credible reports of looting, sexual violence, assaults in refugee camps and other human rights abuses” had been reported. “There is also evidence of Eritrean soldiers forcibly returning Eritrean refugees from Tigray to Eritrea,” the statement read in part. The statement said that it is still unclear the precise number of troops of the groups and where they are operating. On the humanitarian front, the US urged both sides to stop fighting so that aid organisations and groups could access those in need. 

Ethiopia and Eritrea have been adamant that the Eritrean troops had not crossed the border into the country. Despite their denial, survivors who have fled the Tigray region have claimed that Eritrean troops had gone house to house killing young men while looting. 

An audio statement from the defacto Tigray leader, Debretison Gebremichael, was released on Saturday night. The statement was released on Facebook by the Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF)- affiliated media group, Tigrai Media House, based in the US. Gebremichael admitted that the federal government had military dominance, though temporary, he added. He alleged abuses by the Ethiopian forces on Tigrayans. He affirmed that the TPLF “is engaged in extended resistance.” He called on his supporters to “organise and fight and to strive to make all who have reached fighting age take up the fight.” 

International media could not independently verify the authenticity of the recording. This is the first communication in two months. 

Responding to the audio statement, the spokesperson of PM Abiy said she “cannot speak to the delusions of a criminal clique’s Facebook page.” She added the TPLF had been making unfounded genocide claims since November to cover up their own horrendous crimes. 

The UN reported that as many as 20,000 refugees are missing after armed men targeted two camps. The refugees, mainly from Eritrea, fled after the two camps, Hitsats and Shimelba, were attacked by unknown gunmen. Three thousand refugees managed to reach another nearby camp, Mai-Aini. The UN fears that some of the refugees were abducted or killed in other locations. 

The World Food Programme met to re-open humanitarian aid to Tigray, something that the government has prohibited for months.

After lobbying with the Ethiopian government, the UN announced that the two sides had reached an agreement to expand the access for aid workers in Tigray. Due to the limited communication and access to villages and towns in Tigray, it is hard for aid organisations to have an accurate image of those who need help. The Ethiopian government allowed the World Food Programme (WFP) to provide emergency food aid to one million people in Tigray. The government would also provide transport to hard to reach rural areas. 

The new agreement builds on an existing agreement signed in December. The flawed agreement did not provide UN access to areas that were under government control. The situation between the two sides worsened when security forces fired shots at a UN team travelling to Mekelle after they refused to stop at two checkpoints. 

UN agencies received approval from the Ethiopian Government for 25 international staff to provide humanitarian assistance inside the country’s conflict-torn Tigray region, (UN Spokesperson).

The Ethiopian Red Cross Society (ERCS) raised the alarm over the worsening humanitarian crisis in Tigray, adding that at least 80% of Tigray is “unreachable at this particular time.” ERCS called for attention to address the dire situation where some starvation deaths have been reported. They explained that many areas are still inaccessible due to the closure or restriction on main roads north and south of the capital Mekelle. The organisation estimated that nearly 3.8 million out of the 6 million population is in dire need of aid. 

Human Rights Watch (HRW) says Ethiopian forces shelled heavily populated areas during the first weeks of the conflict in the Tigray region. The rights group estimates at least 83 civilians were killed during those instances and displaced thousands. The artillery attacks targeted homes, hospitals, schools and markets in Mekelle, the capital, and towns of Shire and Humera. Just in Humera, the doctors noted at least 46 civilians were killed and another 2000 injured in a single day from an attack by the Ethiopian forces. 

The findings by HRW contradict PM Abiy’s previous statements that the military acted with special care for civilian lives. In November, the PM told the parliament that no civilian was killed since the operation began on 4 November. 

The United Nations refugee agency (UNHCR) relocated Eritrean refugees from two camps after they were destroyed following an attack by armed militias.  Armed men attacked the Shimelba and Hitsats camps, killing and abducting refugees. The Norwegian Refugee Council, one of the NGOs actively working in those two camps, condemned the attack on refugees. 

To make the refugees’ plight worse, some camp residents reported that Eritrean soldiers had forced some of them back to Eritrea.

Local and international journalists investigating and reporting on the Tigray crisis have reported instances of threats and intimidation by armed actors. These journalists are investigating artillery attacks, massacres, extrajudicial killings, widespread looting, and sexual-based violence, including rape. Local newspapers, including Adds Standard, have had their journalist arrested or detained on trumped-up charges. One journalist was charged with “attempts to dismantle the Constitution through violence” and “outrage against the Constitution.”

To silence the journalists, some have had their homes raided with property destroyed or taken while others have ultimately lost their lives. These armed men that have attacked the journalists allegedly claim their attacks are on those who are “spreading lies.” or supporting the “Tigray junta.” 

The government imposed lockdown in Tigray, which only allows limited communication to come out of the region, has made matters worse. At the beginning of the conflict, the government had shut down all forms of communication, including the internet, mobile phones, and landlines. 

Fires alleged to have been deliberately set destroyed more than 500 structures around the town of Gijet.

Following an investigation by Amnesty International, killings of hundreds of civilians by Eritrean troops in Axum amounted to “human rights and humanitarian law violations.” On 28 and 29 November, Eritrean troops killed hundreds of civilians in a “coordinated and systematic” manner. The human rights group claims that the massacre aimed to “terrorise the population into submission.” A total of 41 survivors were interviewed. According to the witnesses, the Ethiopian and Eritrean military entered the town of Axum on 19 November, where they also indiscriminately fired at anyone who tried to escape. They said they could identify that the troops were Eritrean due to their uniform. Some said that some of the troops wore Ethiopian military uniforms but could identify them as Eritreans by their shoes or by the three scars near the eye, markings that identify them as Beni Amir, an ethnic group in Eritrea and Sudan, not Ethiopia. Moreover, though Eritrea has ethnically Tigrayans, the survivors noted the troops were not speaking Ethiopia’s Tigranya dialect. 

Ethiopian Ambassador to Qatar called the report by Amnesty “cooked” after he was asked to respond by Al-Jazeera. He added that, “ This kind of report based on unreliable sources is known to have the risk of further reinforcing the misinformation and propaganda by TPLF criminal clique.” The Ethiopian government is yet to comment on the allegations. 

Ethiopian authorities released four media workers after spending several days in jail. The arrested were two translators for the AFP and Financial Times, Fitsum Berhane and Alula Akalu, respectively, BBC journalist Girmay Gerbu and local journalist Temrat Yemane. 

To limit the flow of information about what is happening in Tigray, the Ethiopian government granted accreditation to seven international media organisations to report from Tigray. According to Al Jazeera, the journalists were warned that they could face unspecified “corrective measures” if they do not meet local standards. 

UN High Commissioner for Human Rights, Michelle Bachelet, stated that her office collaborated the allegations of grave violations by the Eritrean forces. She added that the violations could amount to “war crimes and crimes against humanity.”  She called on further investigations into the situation in Tigray. She added that Eritrean forces are not the only perpetrators but also Ethiopian National Defence Forces (ENDF), Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPFL) and Amhara regional forces with allied militias.

Human Rights Watch (HWR) say Eritrean forces shot dead more than a hundred civilians, including children, in Tigray in November 2020. The massacre occurred after an armed Tigrayan militia attacked Eritrean soldiers in the area. The report says the army responded by indiscriminately firing on civilians. Survivors of the massacre say that the troops went home to home, killing the men and boys. 

Both Ethiopia and Eritrea deny Eritrea’s active role in the conflict in Tigray. 

The Deputy chief of mission at the Ethiopian Embassy in the US, Kidanemariam, resigned from his post. He accused PM Abiy of leading the country “down a dark path towards destruction and disintegration.” He termed Ethiopia’s campaign as a “genocidal war.” He added that the Abiy government has been “misrepresenting conditions on the ground and failing to come clean about the presence of foreign powers.” 

While testifying before Congress, the US Secretary of State, Antony Bilnken, that acts of “ethnic cleansing” were being committed in Tigray region. He called for all Eritrean troops to be withdrawn from Tigray and replaced by security forces that will respect human rights. He added the allegations are based on credible reports by an “independent investigation into what took place there,” citing human rights abuses and atrocities.  

The Ethiopian government has rejected the US’s allegations, calling them “completely unfounded and spurious verdict.” ”Nothing during or after the end of the main law enforcement operation in Tigray can be identified or defined by any standards as a targeted, international ethnic cleansing against anyone in the region,” the statement read in part. 

The Amhara region also rejected the allegations of “ethnic cleansing” by its forces who have been fighting in Tigray alongside the federal troops, as well as armed militias fighting to retake what they claim as historical Amhara land. The spokesperson of the region said that allegations are “propaganda.”

The Biden administration has sent Senator Chris Coons to meet with PM Abiy Ahmed in Ethiopia. The Senator expressed the president’s concerns over the humanitarian situation in the Tigray region. US Secretary of State, Blinken, had stated that the US would provide $52 million in aid to address the situation. He added that the deteriorating situation could threaten the peace and stability of the region.  

During his trip to Ethiopia, Senator Coons is expected to meet with key leaders of the African Union based in Ethiopia. 

The European Union announced sanctions on Eritrea’s National Security Agency for their role in the Tigray conflict, including serious human rights violations. They froze assets abroad and banned them from travelling to any European Union country. 

The Eritrean Ministry of Foreign Affairs responded to the new sanctions, saying that the accusations are “baseless and offensive.” They asserted that the EU is supporting the Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF). “The EU has been doggedly working to save and bring back to power the defunct TPLF clique and to undermine the region’s own efforts to address challenges and advance comprehensive and durable cooperation,” the statement said in part.

Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed admitted that Eritrean troops had been fighting in the Tigray region for the first time. The admission comes after months of denial from both countries despite credible accusations from human rights groups and locals. While addressing the parliament, PM Abiy affirmed that the troops had crossed into Tigray due to concerns that the Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF) would continue attacks against Asmara. PM Abiy noted that the Eritreans had promised to leave Tigray once the Ethiopian military was in control of the border. He added that the “Eritrean people and government did a lasting favour to our soldiers during the conflict” without explaining the details. 

PM Abiy attempted to address the allegations from human rights groups that the Eritreans have committed mass atrocities. He said, if the Eritreans had committed any atrocities, it was unacceptable. “We don’t accept it because it was the Eritrean army, and we would not accept it if it were our soldiers.” He added that the target of the campaign was pre-discussed. In the same light, he affirmed that any Ethiopian soldier who is found to have raped women or committed other war crimes would be held responsible. This comes after human rights groups documented details from refugees and internally displaced persons (IDPs) who narrated the horrific crimes. PM Abiy said that though the government is investigating the crimes, he believed that the allegations are “propaganda of exaggeration,” propelled by TPLF. 

Issues between Asmara, led by President Isaias Afwerki, and the TPLF stem from the Ethiopia-Eritrea war of 1998, where Eritrea was defeated.  Many analysts view the involvement in the Tigray as a way for Afwerki to exact revenge on the TPLF. 

Doctors without Borders say that their staff members witnessed the killing of at least four civilians. The three staff members witnessed the killing while travelling from the regional capital of Mekelle to Adigrat ahead of two public minibuses when soldiers stopped them. The statement said that the Ethiopian military seems to have survived an ambush from an armed group since one of their vehicles ws on fire. According to their accounts, the soldiers forced the civilians out of the bus and separated the men from the women. Some of the men were shot. The MSF staff were allowed to continue with the travels while the women were told to walk on foot. A few minutes later, the troops stopped the vehicle belonging to Doctors without Borders then proceeded to assault the driver of the vehicle. 

The Ethiopian government responded to the allegations, noting that PM Abiy is aware of the allegations and looking into it. 

A week before the attack, Borders Without Borders condemned the attack on clinics in the Tigray region. They termed the attacks as “deliberate and generalised.” The statement noted that clinics were looted, vandalised and destroyed. Between mid-December and March, a total of 106 clinics were attacked. The health organisation said that the Ethiopian troops had forced doctors in one hospital to treat their wounded before treating anyone, while Eritrean soldiers did the same thing in a different town. 

The Ethiopian Human Rights Commission (EHRC) said that Eritrean troops killed more than 100 civilians in a massacre in November in Tigray. The findings, which Amnesty International and Human Rights Watch collaborated previously, were published by the government-affiliated commission. The massacre took place in the Axum on 28-29 November. The report said that the finds show “grave human rights violations that may amount to crimes against humanity or war crimes.” 

The UN and EHRC announced they would carry out a joint investigation into the allegations of abuse in Tigray. .The EHRC said the probe is part of the “much-needed accountability process.”

The UN office in Ethiopia has documented at least 500 cases of rape in Tigray region. The Deputy aid coordinator, Wafaa Said, that five clinics provide the information. The brave women who reported the assaults stated that they were perpetrated by armed actors who sometimes went as far as forming members of the same family to rape their own family members. Wafaa adds that the numbers of sexual-based violence are probably higher than what is being reported.  

  • Armed Ahmara militias have continued their attacks on neighbouring states of Tigray and Oromia. They have crossed into western Tigray to claim disputed land between the two regions. Amhara officials say that disputed lands, which equates to a quarter of the Tigrayan land, was taken during the 30 years TPLF dominated government after 1991. The armed groups had crossed as soon as the government began their campaign in November 2020.  The fresh fighting has resulted in a mass exodus from western Tigray, which adds additional pressure to an area facing a humanitarian crisis. The head of the Tigray’s government-appointed administration told the media that the western Tigray is still occupied by armed Amhara militias forcing people out of their homes. The administrator of the disputed zone disputes the local administration’s view of the conflict. Yabsira Eshetie said no one had been forced out of their home while no home has been destroyed. “There is federal police here. There is Amhara special police here.”
  • In Oromia, armed Amhara militants attacked a village in the West Wollega Zone, killing at least 30 civilians. The villagers ran to a nearby government office to seek protection from the federal troops. Local administration blames a splinter group of the Oromo Liberation Front (OLF) known as OLF Shane. The OLF Shane spokesperson denied responsibility for the attack, adding that the allegations are part of a government strategy to frame them as lawless. 

Prime Minister Abiy says Eritrean forces have begun withdrawing from the Tigray region in Ethiopia.  Months after delaying the allegation, Ethiopia finally admitted that Eritrean troops were assisting the government troops against the Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF). This comes after G7 countries unequivocally called for the withdrawal of the Eritrean troops. G7 Foreign Minister welcomed the announcement that Eritrea is withdrawing troops, adding that the process must be “swift, unconditional and verifiable.” Eritrea maintains that they crossed the border when provoked by the TPLF. The claim is based on the rocket attacks into Asmara from the Tigray region.    

UNICEF spokesperson, James Elder, said that there is “no clear end in sight” to the conflict in Tigray. The involvement of the Amhara region militias in the conflict has added new dimensions to the conflict, he added. On the humanitarian front, more than one million people, most of whom are children, have been displaced due to fighting, with the numbers expected to rise as the fighting is still ongoing. The spokesperson relayed the accounts from children who had walked hundreds of kilometres to safety with minimal food and water.

The US State Department says there is no evidence that Eritrean troops are withdrawing from Ethiopia. The spokesperson, Ned Price, reiterated the Biden administration’s call for the immediate departure of troops. 

Days later, the US Secretary of State Antony Blinken, uttered similar remarks as the spokesperson of the State Department, adding that the Eritrean forces and Amhara regional forces are contributing to the growing humanitarian disaster while committing human rights abuses.

The US has voiced fresh concern over the atrocities being reported in the Tigray region and the challenges for aid organisations working to alleviate the situation. USAID officials say they still require greater and sustained access to civilians in order to deliver aid., $305 million in total is providing emergency food aid, medical care, temporary shelters and “extremely important” support for victims of violence.

For the first time since the beginning of the conflict, the UN Security Council has voiced concerns about the atrocities being reported in Tigray. The statement called for an investigation into “human rights violations and abuses, including reports of sexual violence against women and girls in the Tigray region.” This is a major shift in policy following the recent internationalisation of the conflict and points to increased future involvement by powerful global actors.

In a joint letter to the UN Security Council (UNSC), three opposition parties called on the international community to pressure the Eritrean government to withdraw all its troops from Ethiopia. The three political parties, the National Political Parties Forum (Salsay Weyane Tigray (SaWeT)), the National Congress of great Tigray (Baytona) and the Tigray Independence Party (TIP) noted that the reconstruction process cannot take place while foreign troops are still in the region.  They also asked the UNSC to hold Eritrea accountable for the war crimes and human rights abuses committed over the past six months. The political parties stated that the response for the larger international community “was not strong enough to persuade the invaders to abide by the long standing covenant of the UN.

Ethiopian government asserted claims from Oxfam that at least 5 million people in Tigray face extreme hunger as “falsified information.” The remarks come after Oxfam, in a statement, claimed that 5 million people are facing extreme levels of hunger as a result of the six months war, inability of thousands of farmers to plan ahead of the rainy season and locusts. 

According to Debebe Zewde, the director of public relations with the Disaster Risk Management Commission, there is a widespread campaign by international organisations and media outlets to tarnish the image of Ethiopia. To counter the narrative, he said that the Ethiopian government stated that they had been delivering humanitarian assistance to the 4.5 million people in need. He added that the government has set up 92 food distribution sites across Tigray and so far they have spent $50.5 million on the food distribution program.

The federal government-appointed head of the Tigray region, Mulu Nega has resigned, according to his deputy. The deputy, Abebe Gebrehiwot Yihdego told the media that Mulu designed without giving details for the reasoning or whether he is now the new interim head of Tigray. Prime Minister Abiy’s office also failed to comment on the recent developments.

The UN announced on Thursday that it was releasing $65 million in aid to Ethiopia, of which $40 million would be sent to Tigray. The rest of the $25 million would be used to fund operations in other parts of the country, including drought relief in the Somali and Oromia regions. The $40 million sent to Tigray will be used to fund the emergency shelter, clean water, health care, prevention efforts and response to sexual and gender-based violence, and emergency telecommunications to support the humanitarian response.

The UN has cautioned that severe malnutrition among children and pregnant women is on the rise in the Tigray region after prolonged conflict and disruption to humanitarian aid. Moreover, aid convoys are being blocked and this has delayed the provision of aid to those who need it most. According to humanitarian organisations reporting to the UN, 431 out of the 19,000 children screened were found to be severely malnourished. Likewise, 2,721 women out of 4,447 screened were found to be acutely malnourished.

Abune Mathias, the head of Ethiopia’s Orthodox Church said the atrocities being committed in Tigray amounted to genocide, his first comments since the outbreak of the war. In a video, which was shot on a mobile phone then smuggled out of Ethiopia, Abune, who is ethnically Tigrayan, said he wanted the world to know what was happening in the region. He also said that he was prevented from speaking about the atrocities, without specifying who prevented him from doing so. 

 

The head of the World Health Organisation, Tedros Adhanom Ghebreysus, described the situation in Tigray as ‘horrific’. Dr Tedros, who is himself from Tigray, said that people were dying due to hunger and decried the sexual abuse taking place in the region.  “The situation in Tigray, Ethiopia is, maybe if I use one word, horrific, very horrific – 4.5, almost five million people need humanitarian aid, 91% need food aid, and many people have started dying actually because of hunger, and severe and acute malnutrition is becoming rampant,” he said at a news conference in Geneva.  According to the WHO, the destruction of healthcare services in the region added further strain to the conflict. Aid agencies have often called for full humanitarian access and an end to the aid blockade.  

‘Foreign Policy’ reports that the Biden Administration is planning visa sanctions on Ethiopian and Tigrayan officials over the atrocities committed in the Tigray region. These restrictions point to a shift in US foreign policy and could represent a turning point in US-Ethiopia relations. The Biden Administration has been frustrated with the response of the Abiy Ahmed-led government, and the Ethiopian government, on the other hand, has refuted criticism over its handling of the crisis. Officials familiar with the matter have said that the US is planning to add further pressure on the Ethiopian government by withholding security assistance funding and targeting the country’s IMF and World Bank programmes. There are also talks of targeted sanctions against Ethiopian government officials complicit in the atrocities, although no final decision has been made. US Secretary of state

In response to the visa restriction by the US, the Ethiopian government accused Washington of meddling in its internal affairs. The Foreign Affairs ministry asserted that the actions by the US were “inappropriate but also completely unacceptable.” said that if the visa restriction is upheld, Addis Ababa “will be forced to reassess its relations with the United States, which might have implications beyond our bilateral relationship.”

The Ethiopian government expelled a New York Times reporter after his licence was revoked over ‘unbalanced’ reporting. Simon Mark has been at the forefront of reporting what has been happening in Tigray, including the alleged human rights violations committed by the Ethiopian troops. According to the New York Times, Simon was summoned by government officials and held at the airport for eight hours before being put on a flight. The assistant managing editor said that the reporter was not given time to go to his house in Ethiopia to collect his belongings before being expelled.  Through his Twitter page, Simon Marks said that the immigration officers also denied him the opportunity to fully say goodbye to his family, including his two-year-old daughter.

Ethiopia’s Media Authority told AFP that Simon Marks had no business staying in the country, especially after the government revoked his license. once

The expulsion of Simon Mark drew condemnation for media personalities and Reporters without Borders (RWB). According to RWB, he was the first foreign reporter to be expelled from the country.  

According to the Ethiopian government, 22 officials from the interim administration in Tigray have been killed by forces loyal to its former ruling party, 20 others have been kidnapped, and four had been wounded.  It was the first time the government of Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed had disclosed the toll of attacks by Tigrayan forces, which federal officials have long claimed would be unable to mount an effective insurgency. The attacks on interim administration officials were perpetrated “by TPLF fighters that claim to be fighting for the people of Tigray but have rather been actively engaged in the destruction of property, killing and kidnapping” of those “tasked with bringing stability to the region,” the government statement said.

An Ethiopian national aid worker was killed by a “stray bullet” in Tigray. The aid worker, identified as Negasi Kadane, succumbed to the injuries on Saturday after being rushed to the hospital on Friday evening, according to the employer, the Italian charity, International Committee for the Development of Peoples (CISP). 

Negasi is the 9th aid worker reportedly killed in Tigray since the fighting began in November 2020. Last week, USAID chief, Samantha Power, said that a national staff was killed in Tigray “reportedly by Eritrean and Ethiopian soldiers.” The killing of the USAID staff led to the US warning the warring parties of deliberately targeting aid workers. In December, Danish Refugee Council and International Rescue Committee lost three and one of its staff members, respectively.

In a recently released report, Human Rights Watch (HRW) documented attacks on schools after conducting more than a dozen interviews with residents, teachers, parents and former students. “All warring parties have been implicated in attacking, pillaging and occupying schools across the Tigray region,” Laetitia Bader, HRW’s Horn of Africa Director and one of the report’s authors, said. “This has an impact not only on children’s ability to receive an education now, but it also has a much longer impact on schoolchildren’s ability to receive the education they have been missing for the past six months,” said Bader.  According to Bader, troops occupied and fortified a primary school to be used as a watchtower in one instance. After Ethiopian troops left the school, Mekelle residents found widespread damage to classrooms and offices, as well as the destruction of electrical installations and water pipes.

Tigrayans have accused Eritrean troops of massacring civilians at the slopes of the Church of Abuna Yemata in Tigray, according to testimonies gathered by the Guardian.  On 8 May, Eritrea soldiers killed at least 19 civilians, mainly from three families, in a village near the church. However, the Guardian cautioned that they are still verifying the accounts of the survivors.

The Ethiopian government has stated that Operation ‘Law Enforcement” is about to come to an end, despite calling victory in November 2020. The government, through its spokesperson, Billene Seyoum, said that the forces are close to “finalising operations,” adding that the fighting is localised to two areas.  They added that all armed opposition will soon be eliminated.

Responding to the allegations of indiscriminate killing of civilians, rape and other sexual-based violence, the spokesperson said that the military police and prosecutors had begun prosecuting those responsible for such crimes. A total of 53 soldiers are facing trial. She added that such violations were not endemic to the entire military but rather “bad apples who violated their rules of engagement.”

Billene Seyoum, the spokeswoman for Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed, said reports from the defence ministry indicate that troops from neighbouring Eritrea had begun withdrawing from Tigray.  Ethiopia had previously denied that Eritrean forces were in the country, but in March Mr Abiy admitted they were there and said they would start leaving. Talking to journalists, Ms Billene denied allegations that people were being deliberately starved of food. She said the government was working to provide emergency food aid with several agencies, including the UN’s World Food Programme.

Ethiopia’s international community has continued its plea for assistance as the famine in Tigray becomes a reality.

The UN humanitarian chief, Mark Lowcock, also has raised the alarm over the deteriorating humanitarian crisis in Tigray region. He said if no immediate action takes place, the 1984 famine that killed at least 1 million Ethiopians could occur again. He asserted that famine is already taking place in Tigray. Lowcock said that the situation is set to get worse if humanitarian access is not permitted. He added that Amhara and Afar regions are also going to be affected. “We are hearing of starvation-related deaths already,” he said in a statement released on Friday. “People need to wake up. The international community needs to really step up, including through the provision of money.  He also added that Eritrea was using starvation as a weapon of war in contravention of humanitarian law. “The access for aid workers is not there because of what men with guns and bombs are doing and what their political masters are telling them to do,” he said.

The United Kingdom is the latest country to ask for more assistance for the north region. UK Ambassador Barbara Woodward told reporters that immediate aid is needed, and the delay could result in the possible deaths of hundreds of people. The destruction of the farmlands during the conflict has added to the food insecurity. Amb Woodward asserted that there could be “a man-made famine without a ceasefire and humanitarian access.” She concluded her media briefing by noting that the UK has pledged another 23.6 million to aid the current crisis.

As the Tigray conflict rages on, children have not been spared by the effects of the conflict. Children currently receiving treatment in various hospitals in Tigray have begun sharing their stories. The accounts show that the children have been shot, knifed, hit by shrapnel from heavy artillery, and maimed by landmines. According to official records, in one Ayder hospital in the capital city of Mekelle, 32 children have been admitted, 13 children have had their limbs amputated.

Beriha, a fifteen-year-old, lost one eye in the war and the other permanently blinded while she ran for her life as the security forces were firing on civilians. To make matters worse, the family had to travel from town to town searching for a hospital to treat Beriha since the hospitals, and health centres are either full or not functioning. In a report by Doctors without Borders, less than 15% of health care centres in Tigray are operating normally.

Eritrea’s Foreign Affairs Minister has blamed the US for the Tigray conflict by supporting the Tigray People’s Liberation Movement (TPLF). In a letter sent to the UN Security Council, the Minister said that the current Biden administration is “stoking further conflict and destabilisation” by interfering and intimidating the region. Furthermore, the letter accuses the US government of attempting to “resuscitate the remnants of the TPLF regime.”

The TPLF dominated government that ruled Ethiopia for more than 27 years until Prime Minister Abiy come to power in 2018 was considered Eritrea’s biggest enemy. The animosity grew worse and worse following the defeat of Eritrea during the war with Ethiopia (1998-2000). Regional analysts have maintained that Eritrea joined the conflict to punish the TPLF and its supporters in Tigray.

The African Union (AU) announced that they will investigate the allegations of human rights abuses committed in Tigray region of Ethiopia. In a statement, the investigation will be conducted by the African Commission on Human and Peoples’ Rights stationed in the Gambia. The investigation team will conduct their research in Ethiopia and in the neighbouring countries over a three-month period, with the possibility of extension.

As expected, the Ethiopian government deemed the investigation as unnecessary. The Foreign Affairs Ministry criticised the inquiry, adding that it was “misguided” and lacked a legal basis. The ministry offered to do a joint investigation with the AU. 

In response to the comments from the Ethiopian government, the vice-chair of the human rights commission, Remy Ngoy Lumbu, noted that the investigation could not be stopped. He affirmed that the findings “definitely will not be hidden in the drawer.” VC Limbu confirmed that the Ethiopian government had given authorisation for the commission to visit the Tigray region, but no exact date has been set.

After two postponements, Ethiopians took to the polling stations to cast their vote. This will be the first electoral test for Prime Minister Abiy, who came to power in 2018 with a wide support base. Many opposition candidates boycotted the election, stating that the elections would not be free and fair. On election day, opposition party members in Amhara claimed high levels of intimidation from government forces. Based on the data of civil society election monitors, 118 incidents, 93 of whom were verified, of intimidation were reported in Amhara and in the southern region. Interviewed voters said that peace – As the elections take place, the conflict continues to rage on in Tigray. The polls did not take place in all places in Ethiopia, accounting for a fifth of the 547 constituencies. Tigray specifically accounts for 38 seats in Parliament. According to the election commission, the election in those areas deemed to be insecure would vote on 6 September.  

 Ethiopia’s military has rejected accounts that dozens of civilians were killed in an air raid in the country’s embattled Tigray region, saying its forces had only struck rebels. Speaking to journalists on Thursday, army spokesman Colonel Getnet Adane said the operation “dismantled” armed forces loyal to the northern region’s former governing party, the Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF). “We do not accept that this operation targeted civilians,” he said, cautioning that the rebels were known to wear civilian clothes.

Survivors and health workers, however, described aerial explosions striking the marketplace at the peak of trading, killing and wounding dozens, including children. A local health official cited by AFP news agency put the death toll to at least 64, with 180 wounded, while medics told news agencies that the Ethiopian military was blocking ambulances from reaching the scene.

Unknown assailants killed 3 Médecins Sans Frontières (Doctors without borders) employees in Tigray. In a statement, the UN chief described the murders as “totally unacceptable and an appalling violation of International Humanitarian Law. The perpetrators must be found and severely punished. “I stand in solidarity with our humanitarian partners who are risking their lives to provide protection and relief to people in Tigray”, Mr Guterres added.

Two weeks after the killing of the three humanitarian workers, MSF is calling for the government to investigate their deaths. No group has claimed responsibility for the attack, and the circumstances that led to their deaths is still unclear, the organisation says. The aid organisation was forced to suspend operations in Abi Adi, Adigrat and Axum, citing security concerns.

Videos of Tigray Defence Forces marching into Mekelle with cheering crowds swept the social media space. The troops received a hero’s welcome, with Tigrayans waving their flags and singing battle songs, thanking them for their efforts. The TDF has been on the offensive over the last two weeks, slowly pushing out Eritrean and Ethiopian forces from the countryside.

With news that Mekelle is under the control of TDF, the Ethiopian government was quick to refute the narrative that the troops fled the town. In an address, PM Abiy said that Mekelle is no longer “the centre of gravity for conflict.” He added that the troops could return in weeks if needed.

The Ethiopian government declared an immediate and unilateral ceasefire in Tigray as government soldiers began retreating from the region. Along with this, rebel forces took the regional capital of Mekele.  The statement was broadcast by Ethiopian state media after the interim administration, appointed by Addis Ababa, fled the region and called for a ceasefire on humanitarian grounds so that aid could be delivered to those in need. Adding to PM Abiy’s sentiments, the Abiy-appointed Tigray leader, Abraham Belay, said the objective of the ceasefire is “to facilitate aid deliveries and permit farmers to cultivate their crops in peace.”

The UN Secretary-General welcomed the ceasefire call. In a telephone call with the Ethiopian Prime Minister, he hoped that this step would be a harbinger of peace. This ceasefire will last until September when the planting season ends.

The UK has also called all parties to pull back from violence in Tigray and allow humanitarian workers access to the region. The government welcomed the announcement of a humanitarian ceasefire and urged all parties to make a similar announcement.

Through its Foreign Affairs minister Demeke Mekonnen, the Ethiopian government categorically denied accusations that the government is intentionally trying to “suffocate” the people of Tigray by denying them access to immediate aid.  “The insinuation that we are trying to suffocate the Tigrayan people by denying humanitarian access and using hunger as a weapon of war is beyond the pale. There is absolutely no reason for us to do so. These are our people,” Demeke said. Though credible intelligence shows that Amhara forces destroyed the bridge, the Ethiopian government is insistent on placing the blame on Tigray forces.

The UN continues to call for full access to humanitarian aid into Tigray. The latest reports indicate 400 000 people are suffering from famine while another 1.8 million are on the brink of famine. UNHCR notes that the humanitarian conditions have “worsened drastically” in the recent weeks, with at least 50 000 more people facing famine and 33 000 children severely malnourished. The conflict has displaced two million people, and close to 5.2 million people require various degrees of humanitarian assistance.   

Responding to the Ethiopian government’s call for a ceasefire after its troops withdrew from Mekele, the Tigray Defence Forces (TDF) have asserted that certain conditions must be met for them to agree to the ceasefire. Firstly, all Eritrean and Amhara forces must withdraw from Tigray and return to their pre-war territories. Secondly, PM Abiy and Eritrean President Afeworki must be held accountable for all the crimes committed in Tigray by their troops following an UN-led investigation. Thirdly, all humanitarian aid should be allowed into Tigray to assist the civilians who are suffering. Fourthly, full access to services such as electricity, telecommunication, banking, air travel, healthcare, transportation and commerce. Fifthly, all negotiations going forward should be based on the current constitution and through the democratically elected government of Tigray that the Abiy government does not recognise.

Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed’s ruling Prosperity Party (PP) overwhelmingly won general elections Saturday, meaning he will stay in power another term. Abiy’s party is expected to take more than 410 of the 546 parliamentary seats in the first round of the contest, Ethiopia’s sixth national election. Abiy, 44, took office in April 2018 following the resignation of his predecessor, becoming the first Oromo person to lead the country.

The humanitarian crisis in Tigray continues to worsen as government and regional forces restrict access to aid. The flow of aid has been made worse by the destruction of the Tekeze bridge allegedly by Amhara militia as they fled from Mekele and the closure of the airports in Shire and Mekelle. Succumbing to international pressure, the Ethiopian government allowed humanitarian flights to Tigray a week ago. Despite the government claims, no flight has taken off from Addis Ababa, according to the director-general of the Ethiopian civil aviation authority, Wesenyeleh Hunegnaw.  He claimed that the foreign affairs ministry is the authority providing clearance of flights which is then sent to them,

The World Food Programme (WFP) has documented the four-day journey from Semera to Mekelle, consisting of a convoy of 50 trucks delivering 900 tonnes of food and other emergency supplies.  The UN agency said that this is the first convoy passed through ten different checkpoints to reach Tigray since 2 July.  

The UN Human Rights Council (UNHRC) passed a resolution calling for the swift pullout of Eritrean troops from Ethiopia’s Tigray region. The council asserted that the presence of Eritrean troops is “exacerbating the conflict.” The resolution also called for the immediate halt of all humanitarian rights violations and abuses. Out of the 47 councils, 20 voted for the resolution, 14 opposed, and 13 abstained.   As expected, Eritrea voted against the UN resolution.

In a statement, the UNHRC chief, Filippo Grandi, said that the various forces in Tigray must stop the “violence and intimidation of Eritrean refugees.” The UNHCR boss’ comments come as reports stream in that fighting in a refugee camp outside Alamata, a recently liberated town. Previously, two refugee camps – Shimelba and Hitsats – housing Eritrean refugees were set ablaze, forcing tens of thousands of refugees to flee to other parts of Tigray. To make matters worse, some credible reports indicate that some refugees have been abducted or arrested in several towns in Tigray, the most recent in Shire, a recently liberated town. 

A spokesperson for the State Department said that the US strongly condemns all retaliatory attacks on civilians, either by the rebels or by government forces, and called for a full ceasefire. This development comes on the back of Secretary of State Anthony Blinken ordering a probe into whether the crimes in Tigray accounted to genocide or crimes against humanity.

The Tigray Defence Forces (TDF), the military wing of the Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF), continue their pursuit to recover lost territory from Ethiopian forces and Amhara militias. TDF claimed to have taken control of Mai Tsebri, near Tekeze River, and Alamata, in southern Tigray from Amhara militias. Getachew Reda, the spokesperson for the Tigrayan forces, told the media that they will “liberate every square inch of Tigray.”

The new advances have placed pressure on the Amhara region who moved its forces into historically disputed lands but had been under Tigray administration. The National Movement of Amhara (NMA), a regional party, released a statement calling for “quick preparations to mobilise to the fronts.” District officials made similar statements.

The brewing tension between Amhara and Tigray is the next front that the world should be paying attention to. The Amhara wing of the prosperity party, PM Abiy’s coalition political party, is one of the powerful regional branches. PM Abiy will likely turn a blind eye to the conflict between the two states to ensure his coalition remains. A regional analyst notes that the Abiy government would be willing to ignore atrocities by Amhara militias since the disputed area shares a border with Sudan, which would cut off the supply of arms and other goods to the TDF from Sudan.   

More on this Crisis

Opportunities in the Crisis Index

If you have relevant knowledge of a particular region and are interested in being a Regional Crisis Adviser or Senior Correspondent (Crisis Index), please email our Crisis Index Coordinator at catherine.kreider@theowp.org.

Interested in contributing to the Crisis Index?

We have a team of knowledgeable advisors and senior correspondents responsible for updating and maintaining our Crisis Index pages. For more information on the roles and responsibilities, click the button below.
Click Here