Venezuela, South America
Under the presidency of Hugo Chávez through the 2000s and into the early 2010s, Venezuela’s economy became hyper-dependent on the country’s once-great national oil industry. With the sharp decline in Venezuelan oil also came a sharp economic decline under Chávez’s successor, President Nicolás Maduro. The Maduro government has worked to further Chávez-era consolidation, as well as a crackdown on anti-government demonstrations. This crisis has resulted in extreme hyperinflation, food scarcity, and medical shortages, leading to mass emigration to surrounding countries in the region. More than 90% of the population currently lives in poverty. There is no clear end to this crisis, even with the rise of an opposition government under Juan Guaidó, the former President of the National Assembly and Maduro challenger.
The COVID-19 global pandemic has only worsened the socio-economic conditions of Venezuelans all over the country and has also forced the Venezuelan government to work with the opposition to acquire foreign aid. However, the government continues to engage in censorship, extrajudicial killings and persecution of individuals who oppose the Maduro government. This has made the political situation highly volatile.
"The infrastructure, institutions and social fabric of Venezuela are deteriorating, and people realize the Chavez government has been the problem, not the solution."
Leopoldo Lopez - Venezuelan politician
Key Facts
18,000
Extrajudicial Killings
5 Million
Refugees
96%
Poverty rate
Where: Venezuela
Population: 32.8 million (2019)
Arbitrary or Political Detainees: 15,151 (2014-2019)
Homicide Rate (per 100,000 people): 19 (2020)
Inflation Rate: 15,000% (IMF 2020)
COVID-19 Infections: 293,0000 (2021)
COVID-19 Deaths: 3,377 (2021)
*While Venezuela’s official COVID-19 numbers show a low infection and death rate, it is worth noting that a high percentage of the population does not have access to healthcare and testing facilities.
The Key Actors
Led by President Nicolás Maduro, it has been accused of worsening the socio-economic conditions of Venezuelans (96% poverty rate in 2020) and committing human rights abuses through poor economic management, widespread government corruption and extra-judicial killings. Currently the government’s poor response to the global COVID-19 pandemic has only worsened the conditions in Venezuela. He is supported by the Constituent National Assembly, an elected body charged with drafting Venezuela’s new constitution and made up almost entirely of his supporters. He is also supported by the Great Patriotic Pole, an alliance of several political parties including Maduro’s United Socialist Party, pro-government community groups, and paramilitary organizations.
Led by Juan Guaidó, the President of the Venezuelan National Assembly. After the widely-criticized 2018 presidential elections, Guaidó named himself President of Venezuela as established by the line of succession in the Venezuelan constitution. He is recognized as the interim president by 57 countries, including the United States, the United Kingdom and a majority of Latin American countries. The 2018 presidential elections remain unresolved despite efforts to conduct negotiations between Juan Guaido and Nicholas Maduro by The Lima Group.
A catch-all coalition launched in 2009 to oppose the government of Hugo Chavez. It is made up of 13 opposition parties which includes parties of left and right wing ideologies. The Democratic Unity Roundtable supports common goals such as free education, freedom of work and freedom of press.
A coalition made of 14 countries from the Americas was formed as a response to the succession crisis after the 2018 presidential election in Venezuela. The group wants a peaceful transition of power in Venezuela, calls for free elections, and an end to human rights abuses. It also seeks to mediate between the Maduro and Guaidó governments and works to end the crisis. The last meeting between the group took place in Ottawa, Canada in February 2020. The Lima Group has also rejected plans by the Maduro government to hold parliamentary elections without the participation of all political parties.
Has heavily condemned the Venezuelan government’s treatment of its citizens, human rights abuses, and erosion of democratic institutions. The President of the United Nations Human Rights Office of the High Commissioner, Michelle Bachalet, visited Venezuela in June 2020 where she met with Nicholas Maduro, Juan Guaidó and several political activists. .As a result of this visit, the OHCHR has has appointed two UN officials who will stay in Venezuela and monitor the humanitarian crisis.
The United States and several other countries imposed sanctions on Venezuela in 2017, and again in the wake of the 2018 election crisis. Furthemore, these countries have also heavily criticized the Venezuelan government for its clamp down on democratic institutions and for committing human rights abuses. However, Maduro’s government continues to be supported by several other countries including Russia, China, South Africa, Iran, and Turkey.
The Situation
Classification: Political and Economic Depression
Worsening
Relations between the Maduro government, the United States, and US allies in Latin America seem to be rapidly worsening since the attempted coup in early May. Guaidó’s spotlight has faded significantly and his alleged involvement in the failed invasion is making him even less popular – both internationally and within Venezuela. Though little trustworthy information has come out, the Venezuelan government is likely struggling under the coronavirus pandemic, especially because of its virtual shutdown on the country’s already-shrinking oil industry.
Timeline of Events
Hugo Chávez is elected as president and ushers in a new age in Venezuela, defined by costly social welfare programs, decreasing wealth inequality, and reducing poverty – all financed by surges in oil prices, which make up a significant portion of the Venezuelan economy.
Chávez dies after a two-year long cancer battle. He names Nicolás Maduro as his preferred successor before his death.
Maduro wins the presidential election by a 1.5% margin.
Opposition leader Leopoldo López calls on students to protest against scarcity, shortages, and government corruption and mismanagement.
Other opposition leaders call on people to protest on 12 February, National Youth Day.
Small student marches are held across universities and colleges.
First major protests against the government begin in 38 cities, many of them led by opposition leaders and consisting of student marchers. The protests continue into March, turning violent when opposition protestors clash with pro-government groups and government security forces. Several students are arrested.
A Colombian news channel is taken off the air by the Venezuelan government for its “biased” coverage of the protests.
Maduro organizes pro-government rallies and prohibits violent anti-government demonstrations.
A judge accepts a petition from the Attorney General’s office to detain López.
López turns himself in to the Venezuelan National Guard. Amnesty International and Human Rights Watch call for his release, particularly in the wake of further violent protests between government supporters and opposition protesters.
Tens of thousands of government and opposition protesters take to the streets again in the capital Caracas and in San Cristóbal.
Venezuela cuts diplomatic ties with Panama, who called for intervention in the country to manage protests.
The Penal Court brings 40 alleged human rights violations regarding the 12 February protests to the government.
Venezuela cuts economic ties with Panama.
Maduro acknowledges that the government has detained 1529 people since the protests began.
Violent and peaceful protests continue throughout April and May with an estimated 28 people were killed in the previous two months.
100 days of protests are marked with further marches.
The UN High Commissioner for Human Rights expresses concern about human rights abuses and violations in Venezuela.
Protests in cities and towns across the country continue for the rest of the year, with protestors ranging from laborers and students to doctors and politicians. The protests themselves focus on government human rights violations, food and goods scarcity, poverty, oil prices, and corruption.
Opposition leader Henrique Capriles Radonski calls on opposition protesters to mobilize after increasing food shortages and long lines at supermarkets.
Imprisoned opposition leader Daniel Ceballos and López announce they are beginning a hunger strike and call on opposition protesters to mobilize for a mass protest.
Around 200,000 people collectively protest in cities across the country, demanding the arrest of protesters along with a set date for the next parliamentary elections.
After spending a year and a half imprisoned, López is found guilty in a corrupt trial and is sentenced to 13 years in prison.
Think tank Observatory of Venezuelan Violence finds that 27,875 homicides were committed in 2015, a rate of 90 per 100,000 people.
Congressional elections are held, and MUD gains a majority in the National Assembly, winning 109 of a possible 164 seats.
Unemployment hits 18%.
A poll from pollster group Datanalisis finds that two-thirds of Venezuelans want Maduro to end his presidency this year.
The opposition-led National Assembly introduces legislation to release the 70 opposition leaders arrested in the past two years of protests.
Opposition politicians deliver a petition with 1.8 million signatures asking for Maduro’s removal, pushing for an official referendum on the issue.
Opposition protesters march in Caracas demanding the National Electoral Council (CNE) hold a referendum to recall Maduro.
The CNE suspends the referendum, citing voter fraud as the reason. This sparks more protests.
Foreign journalists are barred from entering Venezuela, as 1.2 million people across the country protest against Maduro’s rule, and demand he leave office.
Vatican-backed discussions between Maduro’s government and the opposition stall after the government refuses to release prisoners and hold recall elections.
Central Bank figures show that inflation rose 800% in 2016 – the highest in Venezuela’s history – while GDP shrunk 18.6%.
Several opposition leaders and politicians are arrested by the government for allegedly attempting a coup.
The Vatican officially leaves peace talks between the two parties.
Small marches continue throughout the country due to fears of repression from the government, who close public transportation and set up police roadblocks and checkpoints in an attempt to minimize numbers.
Venezuela’s Supreme Tribunal of Justice (the highest court in the country and head of the judicial branch) takes over all legislative powers from the opposition-majority National Assembly. This decision is reversed a few days later on the 1st of April.
The opposition calls for a large scale “mega-march” on 19 April; Maduro announces the creation of 2000 security checkpoints and 200,000 additional authorities to stop the march.
Maduro orders the expansion of the Venezuelan National Militia to include 500,000 of his most loyal supporters.
The “Mother of All Protests” begins, with increasing violence, resulting in 520 arrests. News outlets estimate anywhere between hundreds of thousands to 1.2 million protesters participate.
A peaceful national sit-in is held across the country, bringing the day to a complete stop.
Maduro announces plans to replace the National Assembly with a “communal national constitutional assembly” who would draft a new constitution to replace the 1999 Venezuelan Constitution.
A second national sit-in occurs, blocking traffic across the country for twelve hours.
The 20th day of consecutive marches is marked by millions of protesters in Caracas, in the “We Are Millions” march, resulting in 90 injuries after authorities responded with violence.
The opposition announces they will hold an unofficial referendum asking for thoughts on the creation of a constitutional assembly, the government’s actions, and the military.
National Guardsmen stand aside as government supporters and armed groups storm the National Assembly and attack opposition members, injuring 12 people.
López is placed under house arrest to serve out the remainder of his sentence.
The opposition’s referendum is held, and finds 99% of voters do not want to elect a new Constitutional Assembly, want the military to respect the 1999 Constitution, and want new general elections to be held and the establishment of a “Government of National Unity.”
Millions participate in a 24-hour general strike bringing the work day to a standstill, despite threats from Maduro against small business owners.
Elections are held for the Constitutional Assembly, despite widespread international condemnation. The opposition boycotts the election, and the majority of elected members are Maduro supporters and loyalists.
The CEO of Smartmatic, who run Venezuela’s voting machines, says tampering by the National Electoral Council was highly likely during the election, and Maduro’s claim that eight million votes were cast was wrong by at least one million votes.
The Constitutional Assembly is sworn in and promptly dissolves the National Assembly.
Attorney General Luisa Ortega Díaz, a critic of Maduro, is dismissed from her role by the Constitutional Assembly.
The Constitutional Assembly assumes the powers of the National Assembly.
Regional elections are held and the CNE claim Maduro’s party won 17 of 23 governorships in the country.
The Minister of Interior, Justice, and Peace bans all organised protests until 3 November 2017.
The attorney general announces plans to prosecute protest organizers.
Municipal elections are held, and the government claims victory in 306 municipalities.
Maduro announces three opposition parties would be banned from participating in the 2018 general election due to their boycott of the municipal elections.
Inflation rose over 4000% in 2017, according to independent economists and opposition parties.
Maduro announces a 15% raise in minimum wage due to hyperinflation.
Dominican Republic-backed talks between the government and opposition are suspended.
An annual survey published by three Venezuelan universities finds that 25% of the population is eating two or less meals a day and 90% of the population currently lives in poverty.
Approximately 728 protests and marches took place throughout March.
After being moved up from its original date in late-2018, presidential elections are held and Maduro is elected for a second term after most opposition leaders refuse to participate. The election is condemned by many international institutions and NGOs, including the United States and members of both the Lima Group and the European Union.
Two drones explode near President Maduro during a televised speech. The Venezuelan government accuses Colombia and the US, arguing it was a right-wing plot to kill him.
In an attempt to counteract massive inflation, Venezuela slashes five zeros from its old currency and renames it the Sovereign Bolivar.
Following a NY Times report, Venezuela’s Foreign Ministry denounces US intervention plans to help military conspirators overthrow President Maduro.
Venezuelan dissident Fernando Albán dies in custody by supposedly jumping from a 10th floor window. Albán had been arrested as a suspect of the drone attack on Maduro from months earlier. His death is widely disputed, as some claim that there is evidence to suggest he was dead before falling from the window.
A report from the UN’s Refugee Agency announces that the number of people fleeing Venezuela has now reached 3 million. Venezuelan refugees are hosted in neighbouring countries such as Colombia, Ecuador and Argentina.
The UN announces a $9m aid package to people suffering from hunger and disease in Venezuela. With many notable instances of corruption in the country, critics worry that aid funds could be misappropriated.
Maduro reaffirms his distrust of American involvement in Venezuela by arguing that Washington aims to kill him and invade the country.
With Maduro’s election declared illegitimate, Juan Guaidó, President of the opposition-controlled National Assembly, declares himself interim president under the Venezuelan constitution.
Trump declares support for the ‘new president’ of Venezuela, leading to Maduro officially cut ties with the US.
EU members Spain, Germany, and the UK affirm their support for Juan Guaido as Venezuela’s rightful president, whilst Russia accuses European countries of interfering in Venezuelan affairs.
As Maduro blocks humanitarian aid from entering the country, deadly clashes result in two deaths. Whilst opposition leader Guaidó stresses the importance of aid to cushion the economic crisis, Maduro continues to refer to such as a security threat.
During a rally in Caracas, Guaidó calls for the unity of Venezuelans under Operación Libertad, a country-wide movement to the capital that would result in a single massive march to the Miraflores presidential palace.
The International Organization for Migration and the UNHCR publish data suggesting over 4 million people have fled Venezuela since the beginning of the economic and political crises. The political turmoil shows no signs of being resolved and neighbouring countries are hesitant to take in the mass numbers of Venezuelan refugees.
Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro announces plans to reopen the country’s border with Colombia. Due to the ongoing economic crisis, many Venezuelans illegally cross into Colombia to access food and medical supplies. The move could also be seen by some as an attempt to repair relations between the two countries following Colombia’s backing of opposition leader Juan Guaidó.
In line with the US and Guaidó’s opposition government, countries around the world strongly condemn the torture and murder of Venezuelan Corvette Captain Rafael Acosta Arévalo. He was previously arrested in a roundup of current and former-military officials accused of plotting to assassinate Maduro.
A report by the UN’s Human Rights agency urges action against the grave violation of human rights documented in Venezuela. The report, which details over 5,000 killings, describes the government’s strategy as “neutralising, repressing and criminalising political opponents and people critical of the government.”
Despite previous negotiations failing, Guaidó expresses his readiness to talk with Maduro to quell the political and economic crisis in the country.
The US aims to send $40m in humanitarian aid to support US-backed opposition leader Juan Guaidó. The money is to be focused on governance training as well as salaries against the economic and political crisis.
Venezuela suffers from another blackout in what is increasingly seen as common in the ongoing crisis. Officials in Maduro’s government have referred to the blackout as an electromagnetic attack, whilst the President himself blames criminality as the cause of the blackout. Others, however, notably Juan Guaidó, argue that the Maduro’s government is to blame amid further accusations of corruption.
Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro urges Colombia’s military to defy orders and to unite as one sole military force. Colombian President Iván Duque has criticised Maduro as providing a safe haven for Colombian rebel groups. Maduro’s comments typify the failing relationships between neighbouring countries.
Officials from the US Treasury have accused multiple members of Maduro’s government of reaping the benefits of a state-run food subsidy programme originally designed to maintain equal distribution of food. US officials have described this as a vast network of corruption.
In a brief statement, Trump admits to the possibility of blockading Venezuela in the same vein as Cuba. This statement arrives as Maduro and Guaidó commit to talks brokered by Norway. Representatives from Venezuela have reported the threat to the UN Security Council.
In what is described as an act of war by Maduro, the U.S imposed sanctions on the Venezuelan government in a new move to force regime change.
In protest of recent U.S. sanctions, Maduro’s government cancels meetings with American-backed opposition leader Juan Guaidó
UN Human Rights Chief Michelle Bachelet has described recent U.S sanctions on Venezuela as “extremely broad,” serving only to exacerbate the suffering among an already vulnerable population.
Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro confirms that his government is conducting negotiations with the United States. Many suspect members of the Trump Administration have been communicating with the Maduro government for longer than admitted.
Maduro accuses Colombia of provoking a military attack as he places his army of full alert. Maduro referenced what he deems as a re-militarization of the FARC rebel group in Colombia as constituting a threat to Venezuelan security. Colombia has responded to Maduro with accusations of sheltering FARC guerrillas.
The US invokes the 1947 Inter-American Treaty of Reciprocal Assistance to curb the possibility of Venezuelan aggression against other countries in the Americas. The treaty originally was meant to guarantee mutual hemispheric defense, but has been severely weakened since the Cuban Missile Crisis and the Falklands War.
In a statement from the Kremlin, Russia expresses concern over the activation of the Inter-American Treaty of Reciprocal Assistance, fearing it could provoke military action against Venezuela and its socialist allies. With this, they announce Maduro’s visit to Moscow.
Mexico and Uruguay are advocating for dialogue between the Maduro and Guaidó governments in an attempt to end the political crisis in Venezuela. This follows the recent cancellation of talks between the two previously mediated by Norway
16 of the 18 present signatories to the Inter-American Treaty of Reciprocal Assistance agree to impose sanctions and asset freezes on members of the Maduro government accused of terrorism, human rights violations, and association with organized crime. Uruguay votes against the resolution and Trinidad and Tobago abstains.
The UN Human Rights Council adopts a resolution creating an independent team to investigate accusations of extrajudicial killings, forced disappearances, and judicial tampering in Venezuela since 2014. The resolution was originally proposed by members of the Lima Group and requests cooperation from the Maduro government.
The US Agency for International Development announces a $98 million aid agreement with Juan Guaidó’s opposition government. The money will be allocated to both independent humanitarian NGOs and the opposition-controlled National Assembly.
Chile announces that it will implement a blockade against Venezuela should President Nicolás Maduro refuse to organize free and fair elections.
“The Trump administration announces stronger sanctions against Venezuelan officials along with tax exemption licenses for US companies operating in Venezuela.
Approximately 5,000 people gather in Venezuela’s capital to demand Maduro’s resignation and democratic transition. Despite significantly smaller numbers than hoped by Guaidó, the gathering is still the largest opposition rally since the failed Operación Libertad.
In response to Mexico, Uruguay, and the Caribbean Community’s urging to resume dialogue between the dueling factions in Venezuela, Juan Guaidó insists that protest and civil unrest is the only way forward left. Maduro, in contrast, has expressed willingness to negotiate.
Pollster Meganálisis announces that Guaidó and Maduro are in a virtual tie with only approximately 10% and 9% support out of the 1,580 people polled. These results, though much darker than other recent polls, point to Guaidó’s fading spotlight inside Venezuela.
President Nicolás Maduro starts the year by calling for dialogue with the United States. Opposition leader Juan Guaidó reiterated the need for efforts to oust the Maduro government.
In a move to ensure Chavista support of the National Assembly, Venezuelan security forces block members of opposition parties from entering the building to re-elect Juan Guaidó as their leader. In their absence, Luis Parra, a loyal Maduro supporter, is elected. The move is condemned by both the Lima Group and the Organization of American States, as well as the US and Argentina separately.
In a dramatic scene, Guaidó pushes through armed security forces to begin the 2020 legislative session, promising to do so regularly if need be. As the building’s power is cut and soldiers storm the chambers, opposition legislators relocate to the basement to continue. Luis Parra’s pro-Maduro National Assembly holds a separate session. Outside, security forces and protestors attack local and foreign journalists.
Maduro-loyal security forces and militias once again prevent opposition lawmakers from entering the National Assembly building. Guarded SUVs transporting the legislators are attacked and shot at by people dressed as civilians. In response, Guaidó holds the session in an amphitheater in the suburbs of Caracas.
In an interview with the Washington Post – his first with a foreign media outlet in over a year – President Nicolás Maduro reaffirms the immediate need for dialogue with the United States to end the political crisis in Venezuela. He expands on his perspective on Guaidó’s failed uprising and makes no mention of organizing new presidential elections.
Taking advantage of his trip overseas, Venezuelan security forces raid the office of opposition leader Juan Guaidó as his supporters in the National Assembly back down from challenging said forces.
In a speech at the World Economic Forum, Juan Guaidó calls for increased sanctions against members of the Maduro government as well as increased support for Venezuelan refugees.
As the two countries continue their fight over Venezuela’s alleged harboring of Colombian fugitives, President Maduro says that he is willing to re-establish diplomatic relations with Colombia. Colombian President Iván Duque strongly rejects this proposal.
The Trump administration announces that it will increase sanctions on the Venezuelan state-run oil sector and more aggressively punish individuals and companies that violate those sanctions.
Pro-Maduro militias target a march led by opposition leader Juan Guaidó in the city of Barquisimeto. This is the first time Guaidó himself has been personally targeted by one of these armed groups.
Venezuela’s elections council says that 49,408 of the voting machines stored in its warehouse in the capital – the vast majority – have been destroyed in a fire labelled by President Maduro as a ‘terrorist attack.’ This means that the upcoming parliamentary elections, set to be held later this year, may likely have to use physical ballots, significantly compromising the election’s credibility and debilitating the first step to democratic transition.
Venezuelan security forces end the first major protest since Guaidó’s return by using tear gas canisters against the mostly-elderly population of Chacao, a Caracas neighborhood known for its strong support of the opposition. Guaidó responds by announcing a student march after leading the day’s National Assembly session.
The International Monetary Fund rejects a desperate bid from the Maduro government for a $5 billion loan to fight the coronavirus on the grounds that it is unclear who Venezuela’s legitimate leader is. The bid shows the real desperation of Maduro’s administration, as he has long lambasted the IMF as an imperialist agent of the United States.
The Department of Justice indicts Nicolás Maduro and several of his top officials on charges of narco-terrorism, corruption, and drug trafficking in relation to the Cartel de los Soles, a drug trafficking organization allegedly working within the Venezuelan military. They also set a $15 million reward specifically for information leading to Maduro’s arrest.
The State Department publishes a comprehensive plan on power-sharing and democratic transition between the Maduro and Guaidó governments. The plan calls on officials from both factions to come together to form a short-term interim government that would coordinate new presidential elections in which these officials cannot run. The plan does allow for Guaidó to run in the new elections. Maduro’s foreign ministry strongly rejects this plan.
The Venezuelan military stops an alleged amphibious coup near the capital of Caracas, leaving several dead and eight detained. Jason Goudreau, American citizen and head of the private security firm Silvercorp USA, assumes responsibility, claiming that the invasion was agreed upon by Guaidó’s opposition government. Delcy Rodríguez, Vice President to Maduro, claims to have evidence of involvement by both the American and Colombian governments.
Venezuela files a legal claim to force the Bank of England to hand over $1 billion worth of gold belonging to Venezuela. The Venezuelan government claims that it will be used to help fund the country’s COVID-19 pandemic response by providing food and medicine to its people. As the United Kindgom recognized Juan Guaido as the rightful Interim President of Venezuela and imposed sanctions on the government of Nicholas Maduro, it will not release the gold stating that it may be used to fund corruption.
The Venezuelan Health Minister Carlos Alvarado and the opposition (the National Assembly’s Health advisor Julio Castro) sign an agreement to coordinate International funding for the COVID-19 response in Venezuela. Funding will be coming through the Pan American Health Organization (a regional organization of the World Health Organization), including funds previously frozen by the Spanish government and US$20 million previously frozen by the United States of America due to sanctions.
UN High Commissioner on Human Rights Michelle Bachelet presents a new report on human rights in Venezuela, documenting at least 38 instances of extrajudicial killing and 1,324 security-related deaths. She further highlights the efforts of the Maduro government to detain opposition leaders and government critics while also advocating for cooperation.
Mexican President Andrés Manuel López Obrador says that his country will sell gasoline to Venezuela if the country needs it, defying US sanctions.
The Supreme Court of Venezuela suspends and replaces the board of directors for two opposition political parties: Primero Justicia and Action Democratica. The Supreme Court who is believed to be pro-government stated that these parties have been conspiring with foreign entities. This latest crackdown on the opposition comes ahead of Venezuela’s parliamentary election on December 6, 2020 and has been widely criticized by the opposition and Venezuelan activists.
In a bold move, the pro-Maduro Supreme Court orders the takeover of Juan Guaidó’s Popular Will, the most prominent opposition party in government. Leopoldo López, the previous leader of the party, is effectively ousted.
US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo publishes a statement announcing sanctions against Venezuelan Chief of Justice Maikel Moreno and offering a $5 million reward for information leading to his arrest.
Venezuelan prosecutors announce that two of the American’s involved in the May’s failed coup have been sentenced to 20 years in prison.
American Federal Agents confiscate 1.1 million barrels of oil from Iranian tankers bound for Venezuela. The trade between Iran and Venezuela is an attempt to overcome significant shortages of oil in Venezuela and sidestep US sanctions imposed on the South American country.
President Nicolás Maduro announces that the pro-government Constitutional Assembly, previously created to replace the opposition-controlled National Assembly, will be dissolved with elections in December.
The Trump administration announces that the estimated $300 million in frozen Venezuelan government funds will be used to provide backpay to lawmakers who had previously had their salaries suspended by Maduro, as well as pandemic relief through international organizations and payments to healthcare workers.
Elliot Abrams, the US Special Representative for Venezuela, announces that the Trump administration plans to remove exemptions that allow companies to do business with Venezuela’s state-run oil and natural gas producer, PDVSA, raising alarms that the move will further the country’s humanitarian crisis. The restrictions are set to go through just before the American presidential and congressional elections on November 3.
Venezuelan President Nicholas Maduro claims that he has issued a Presidential decree pardoning 110 jailed and exiled opposition politicians and activists. Notably, many of the individuals pardoned were never charged for any crime. The move by the President is largely viewed as a strategy to promote a view of national unity ahead of Venezuela’s parliamentary elections on December 6, 2020 and to legitimize the government’s position.
Venezuelan opposition leader Juan Guaido and 37 political parties reject Venezuela’s elections on December 6, 2020 due to fraud and corruption by Nicholas Maduro’s government and his supporters. Guaido announces a Unitary Pact calling for International pressure on Nicholas Maduro to resign.
Venezuelan President Nicholas Maduro releases a statement saying that an American spy had been captured in the state of Falcon where the Amuay and Cardon oil refineries are located. Furthermore, the statement also says that the spy was captured with specialized weapons and large amounts of cash.
The United Nations fact finding mission report from independent sources finds that there are crimes against humanity that have been committed by high-level authorities in Venezuela. This includes extrajudicial executions, politically motivated detention and torture, and abuses against protesters. The report also made it clear that these violations and abuses were widespread and systematic against the population. As such, these abuses are not done by rogue officers. Furthermore, this report also found that President Nicolas Maduro of Venezuela told Venezuelan intelligence officers who to target.
The United States places additional sanctions on Venezuela for allegedly aiding Iran in their nuclear weapons program. More sanctions are also placed on Iran’s Ministry of Defence.
More than a 100 protests erupts in 17 of the 23 Venezuealan states in response to the continuing shortages of electricity, food and household goods. The police and urban militias have been deployed and many people have been arrested as a result.
Opposition Leader and former mayor of a district in Caracas, Leopoldo Lopez flees the country. Lopez had seeked refuge in the home of the Spanish ambassador three days earlier after escaping house arrest. Lopez was originally arrested in the 2014 mass protests, put into prison for several years and then released on house arrest. Leopoldo Lopez has vowed to to continue his fight against the Nicolas Maduro governmen
As the US election was taking some time to count all the votes, Venezuelan President Nicholas Maduro took the opportunity to mock the American election process. He called the electoral process in the US surprising and then broke into a song to further mock the process. He then went on to say that his country had a civilized and peaceful voting process with same day results.
167 deputies of the National Assembly were elected, along with the creation of ten new seats, making the Assembly comprised of 277 people. 27 parties signed an agreement to boycott the election, including the four biggest parties in opposition to the ruling United Socialist Party of Venezuela (PSUV). The Great Patriotic Pole alliance, led by the PSUV won 219 seats, a supermajority and a significant increase. Voter turnout was approximately 30.5%
The 27 member states of the EU announced in a joint statement that they no longer recognize opposition leader Juan Guiadó as interim president after he lost his position as leader of the National Assembly in the December elections, despite the EU not recognizing the results. He is now considered a ‘privileged interlocutor’.
The US state department announced intention to maintain hard-line policy on Venezuela and will continue to recognize opposition leader Juan Guiadó as the legitimate president. This is in keeping with the Trump administration’s policy toward the country.
Guiadó said in a statement that President Maduro’s government was so far not willing to implement the plan laid out by the Pan American Health Organization for Venezuela to join the COVAX program, nor use funds held by the US treasury to pay for coronavirus vaccines. This contradicts claims by Maduro’s allies that Venezuela would not be able to afford vaccines due to the effect of global sanctions on its economy. Maduro has expressed expectations that Venezuela would receive vaccines from Russia.
Fighting between Venezuela’s military, the Bolivarian National Armed Forces, and Colombian militants broke out in a border region of Venezuela. According to the Venezuelan government, their forces captured 32, destroyed six camps, and killed the leader of one of the armed groups, who was known as ‘Nando’. Local media has reported that the group in question was made up of ex-members of the FARC.
More than 3000 Venezuelans have fled to Colombia following armed clashes between the Venezuelan military and Colombian militant groups in Apure state. The Colombian government has set up shelters near the border.
The Venezuelan military said that two of its soldiers had been killed by a landmine while patrolling the Colombian border to engage armed groups. Nine others were injured. The military says that it has killed nine armed militants, and arrested 31.
Venezuela has raised its minimum wage from 1.8 million bolivars monthly to 7 million bolivars. The increase is to keep pace with the hyperinflation that the country has been experiencing for the last four years. It is in the seventh year of recession. Government workers will also see an increase in their food bonus.
Venezuela’s National Assembly passed a law that would allow companies to make confidential deals in Venezuela’s state oil sector which is being sanctioned by the US, in order to avoid being subject to those sanctions themselves. It is intended to attract private investment to help the Venezuelan economy.
Police raided the offices of El Nacional newspaper after it failed to pay a $13 million fine for defamation against Diosdado Cabello, a lawmaker and member of the ruling United Socialist Party of Venezuela. The move is seen as an attack on press freedom in Venezuela.
New Venezuelan Opposition Leader And The Corruption
A new successor is in town. After the arrest of her advisors, Venezuela’s opposition leader Maria Corina Machado picked Corina Yoris as her replacement in
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